首页|基于模糊层次分析法的电力安全风险评估方法研究

基于模糊层次分析法的电力安全风险评估方法研究

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电力安全风险评估能够识别可能存在的潜在风险和威胁,为此研究基于模糊层次分析法的电力安全风险评估方法.电力网络的安全风险评估采用模糊层次分析法时,考虑网络中节点和边的安全风险以及它们在拓扑结构和业务中的重要程度.评估模型包含事件的损失和事件发生可能性 2 个评价因素,运用模糊语言变量描述元素间的关系,并构造判断矩阵进行量化分析.电力网络中单元安全风险评估方法由单元风险度、单元重要度和单元失效概率组成,单元拓扑重要度衡量单元失效对通信网带来的损失,以此实现电力安全风险评估.实验结果表明所提方法的电力安全风险评估精度最高达到 97%,评估时间最短仅为 9 ms,说明所提方法评估性能高、实用性强.
Power Safety Risk Assessment Method Based on Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process
The power safety risk assessment can identify potential risks and threats,therefore,this work studied a power safety risk assessment method based on fuzzy analytic hierarchy process.The safety risk assessment of power network adopted the fuzzy analytic hierarchy process,considering safety risks of nodes and edges in the network,as well as their importance in topology and business.The evaluation model included two evaluation factors:loss of event and likelihood of event occurrence.Fuzzy language variables were used to describe inter-element relationship,and a judgment matrix was constructed for quantitative analysis.The unit security risk assessment method in power networks consisted of unit risk degree,unit importance degree,and unit failure probability.The unit topology importance degree measured losses caused by unit failure to the communication network,thereby achieving power safety risk assessment.The experimental results showed that the proposed method achieves the highest accuracy of safety risk assessment of 97%along with the lowest evaluation time of only 9 ms,indicating its satisfactory evaluation performance and practical applicability.

power safetyrisk assessment methodbusiness loss

贾晓东

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国源电力技术研究院,陕西 西安 710000

电力安全 风险评估方法 业务损失

2024

电工技术
重庆西南信息有限公司(原科技部西南信息中心)

电工技术

影响因子:0.177
ISSN:1002-1388
年,卷(期):2024.(4)
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