导航定位与授时2024,Vol.11Issue(3) :85-100.DOI:10.19306/j.cnki.2095-8110.2024.03.009

基于改进注意力机制CNN-ATT的区域性ZTD预测模型

A regional ZTD prediction model based on improved attention mechanism CNN-ATT

韦廖军 莫懦 任晓斌 任宏权 魏二虎
导航定位与授时2024,Vol.11Issue(3) :85-100.DOI:10.19306/j.cnki.2095-8110.2024.03.009

基于改进注意力机制CNN-ATT的区域性ZTD预测模型

A regional ZTD prediction model based on improved attention mechanism CNN-ATT

韦廖军 1莫懦 1任晓斌 2任宏权 3魏二虎4
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作者信息

  • 1. 南宁市勘测设计院集团有限公司,南宁 530000
  • 2. 奥克兰大学,新西兰奥克兰市1010
  • 3. 自然资源部第一地形测量队,西安 710054
  • 4. 武汉大学测绘学院,武汉 430079
  • 折叠

摘要

基于天顶对流层延迟(ZTD)的强时空特征,提出了一种融合卷积神经网络的改进注意力机制(CNN-ATT)的多站点ZTD组合预测模型.该模型首次将多源数据(包括日解算精度、年积日(DOY)和三维坐标)综合运用于ZTD预测任务.通过对南宁市的5个参考站(CORS)和14个国际GNSS服务(IGS)站点共1 501个年积日的观测数据进行研究,选取传统BP模型、GPT2w模型和ATT模型作为基线模型进行实验对比分析.研究结果显示,在预测精度方面,改进的CNN-ATT 模型与BP模型相比其均方误差(MSE)和平均绝对误差(MAE)分别减少了 5.5 mm和4.4 mm,预测精度分别提高了 41.4%和67.8%;与ATT模型相比,CNN-ATT模型的预测MSE和MAE也分别减少了 4.6 mm和2.1 mm,预测精度分别提升了 36.2%和50.0%.在定位精度方面,改进的CNN-ATT模型的精度表现优于SAAS,GPT2w,BP以及ATT模型.并且与传统SAAS对流层模型相比,CNN-ATT模型在N,E,U 3个方向的精度提升高达18.2%,12.6%和31.0%.此外,研究还发现CNN-ATT模型在长预测时间步长中的精度表现更为稳定,更适合多测站预测任务,并且其精密单点定位(PPP)收敛速度更快.

Abstract

Based on the strong spatiotemporal characteristics of zenith tropospheric delays(ZTD),a multi-site ZTD combination prediction model with an improved attention mechanism based on convolutional neural networks(CNN-ATT)is proposed.The model integrates multiple data sources,including daily estimation accuracy,day of the year(DOY),and three-dimensional coor-dinates,for the first time in ZTD prediction tasks.A study is conducted using observation data from 5 reference stations(CORS)in Nanning and 14 International GNSS Service(IGS)stations,spanning a total of 1 501 DOY.Traditional back propagation(BP)models,global pressure and temperature 2wet(GPT2w)models,and ATT models are selected as baseline models for compar-ative analysis.The prediction results demonstrate that in terms of prediction accuracy,the im-proved CNN-ATT model outperforms traditional BP neural network models,with a reduction in mean squared error(MSE)and mean absolute error(MAE)by 5.5 mm and 4.4 mm respectively,leading to an improvement in prediction accuracy by 41.4%and 67.8%.Compared to the ATT model,the improved CNN-ATT model also shows reductions in MSE and MAE by 4.6 mm and 2.1 mm,respectively,resulting in a 36.2%and 50.0%enhancement in prediction accuracy.Re-garding positional accuracy,the improved CNN-ATT model outperforms the SAAS,GPT2w,BP,and ATT model.Furthermore,when compared to the traditional SAAS tropospheric model,the CNN-ATT model achieves noteworthy accuracy improvements in the N,E and U directions,with enhancements of 18.2%,12.6%and 31.0%respectively.Additionally,the research unveils that the CNN-ATT model exhibits a more stable performance in extended prediction time steps,making it particularly suitable for multi-station prediction tasks.Moreover,it manifests a faster convergence rate in precise point positioning(PPP)applications.

关键词

注意力机制/对流层延迟/预测模型/卷积神经网络

Key words

Attention mechanism/Tropospheric delay/Prediction model/Convolutional neural networks

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基金项目

国家自然科学基金(423740145)

天津市轨道交通导航定位及时空大数据技术重点实验室开放基金(TKL2024B04)

出版年

2024
导航定位与授时

导航定位与授时

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