首页|2011年电力供需形势回顾及2012年展望

2011年电力供需形势回顾及2012年展望

扫码查看
2011年以来,在国际经济疲软和国内宏观调控的双重影响下,全国电力需求增速呈逐步回落态势。受电煤供应不足和来水偏枯影响,全国大部分省份出现电力供应缺口。预计2012年,随着宏观政策的预调、微调,我国经济增速出现大幅下滑的可能性较小,电力需求也不会出现像2008、2009年那样的明显回落。但由于煤电联动价格机制尚未解决,跨区输电项目滞后,加上水电来水的不确定性,2012年电力供需形势依然偏紧,电力缺口有可能进一步扩大。
Review of2011 and Prospect of 2012 of Power Supply and Demand in China
Since 2011, affected by the weak international economic demand and domestic macroeconomic regulation, the growth rate of electricity consumption has decreased steadily. Most provinces, however, has electricity shortfalls caused by shortage of water or coal. It is predicted that along with pre- and micro-adjustment of macroeconomic policies, it is less likely in 2012 that China's economic growth will slide substantially and the power demand growth will not slow down rapidly as it was in the year 2008 or 2009. But in 2012, electricity deficiency will remain in the country, because the unsolved problem of pricing mechanism of coal and electricity linkage, the lagged trans-region transmission projects and uncertainty of water for hydropower.

electricity supply and demandEuropean debt crisiscoal and electricity price linkagepricing mechanismtrans-region transmission

顾宇桂、单葆国

展开 >

国网能源研究院,北京100052

电力供需 欧债危机 煤电联动 价格机制 跨区输电

2012

能源技术经济
国网能源研究院,湖南省电力公司,中国电力财务有限公司

能源技术经济

ISSN:1674-8441
年,卷(期):2012.24(2)
  • 3