首页|技术进步对川渝地区能源回弹效应的实证研究

技术进步对川渝地区能源回弹效应的实证研究

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技术进步是提高能源利用效率的关键因素,但是能源强度的下降,使得能源产品相对其他生产要素便宜了,这样就会增加更多的能源消费,同时技术进步促进经济的更快增长,反而带来了更多的能源需求,这便出现了技术进步的“能源回弹效应990利用川渝地区1986--2009年的数据,采用传统的索洛余值生产函数法来测算技术进步对川渝地区的能源回弹效应。实证研究表明,川渝地区能源消费的节约量和回弹量是一个动态变化的过程,并且近年来能源回弹效应总体上呈现下降趋势。
Study on Rebound Effect of Energy Consumption Based on Technological Progress in Sichuan Province and Chongqing Municipality
The technological progress is the key factor for improving energy efficiency. It is found that the decrease in energy intensity makes energy products cheaper relative to other products but increases more energy consumption; the technological progress promotes faster economic growth but brings higher energy consumption demand, which results in technological-based "energy rebound effect". Based on the data from 1986 to 2009 of Sichuan Province and Chongqing Municipality, and by using the traditional Solow' s residual value production function, this paper evaluates the energy rebound effect related to technological progress in Sichuan Province and Chongqing Municipality. Empirical results show that the saving and rebound is a dynamic process in Sichuan Province and Chongqing Municipality, and the rebound effect tends to be decreasing on the whole.

energy efficiencyenergy rebound effecttechnological progressSolow' s residualridge regression

赵厚川、李德山、刘媛媛

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中石油西南油气田分公司,四川成都614000

西南石油大学经济管理学院,四川成都610500

西南大学地理科学学院,重庆400715

能源利用效率 能源回弹效应 技术进步 索罗余值法 岭回归

四川石油天然气发展研究中心科研项目

SKB09-03

2012

能源技术经济
国网能源研究院,湖南省电力公司,中国电力财务有限公司

能源技术经济

ISSN:1674-8441
年,卷(期):2012.24(4)
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