大连交通大学学报2024,Vol.45Issue(1) :13-19.DOI:10.13291/j.cnki.djdxac.2024.01.002

重大节假日出行方式选择模型研究

Research on Travel Mode Choice Model for Major Holidays

何永明 张磊 魏堃 曹剑 王锦扬
大连交通大学学报2024,Vol.45Issue(1) :13-19.DOI:10.13291/j.cnki.djdxac.2024.01.002

重大节假日出行方式选择模型研究

Research on Travel Mode Choice Model for Major Holidays

何永明 1张磊 1魏堃 2曹剑 1王锦扬1
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作者信息

  • 1. 东北林业大学 交通学院,黑龙江哈尔滨 150040
  • 2. 长安大学道路结构与材料交通运输行业重点实验室,陕西西安 710000
  • 折叠

摘要

为优化节假日高速公路免费政策,选取出行者变量、出行方式相关变量和行程特性变量作为效用变量,构建了出行方式位于上层、出行距离位于下层的NL模型.利用弧弹性法分析不同收费标准和收费里程条件下出行者的行为特性,并利用场景仿真评价多种收费组合对出行方式的影响.研究结果表明:提高收费标准,汽车出行比例会显著降低,且高速铁路承担了大部分的转移交通量.随着收费里程的增加,出行者逐渐倾向于出行成本较小的普通铁路.对长距离出行收费可以提升公共交通分担率,缓解节假日高速公路的交通拥堵.

Abstract

To optimize the holiday free policy on expressways,the traveler variables,traffic mode-related var-iables and travel characteristic variables are selected as utility variables.The NL model is built with travel mode in upper layer and travel distance in lower layer.The behavior characteristics of travelers under different charge standards and distance are analyzed by arc elasticity,and the influence of various charge combinations on residents travel modes is evaluated by scene simulation.Comparing the change rate of travel modes in dif-ferent scenarios,the proportion of car will be reduced by increasing charge standards,and the main transfer traffic will be allocated to high-speed train.Trains with less travel costs are more likely to be chosen by travel-ers as charge standards are increased.The results indicate that public transportation ridership is increased,and traffic congestion of expressway during holidays can be reduced by charging for long-distance travel.

关键词

节假日出行/免费政策/Nested/Logit模型/出行方式/场景仿真

Key words

holiday traffic/free policy/Nested Logit model/travel mode/scene simulation

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基金项目

道路结构与材料交通运输行业重点实验室开放基金(300102212504)

东北林业大学碳中和专项科学基金(T20221011)

出版年

2024
大连交通大学学报
大连交通大学

大连交通大学学报

CSTPCD
影响因子:0.258
ISSN:1673-9590
参考文献量17
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