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中国数字经济与绿色发展耦合协调的时空特征及驱动机制

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数字经济与绿色发展的相互赋能、协调共进是高质量发展的内在要求。本文在解构数字经济与绿色发展耦合协调机理的基础上,运用纵横向拉开档次法、耦合协调度模型、二次指派程序(QAP)等方法剖析了 2010-2019年中国数字经济与绿色发展耦合协调的时空特征及其空间差异驱动机制。研究发现:①时序演变上,2010-2019年间中国数字经济与绿色发展协调度经历了"勉强协调—初级协调—中级协调"演变历程,但高质量协调发展还远未实现,多数省份处于以数字经济滞后型为特征的初级协调阶段;②空间格局上,中国数字经济与绿色发展协调度的空间差异特征明显,呈现出"多核心"辐射的整体空间格局、"东部领先、中部塌陷、西部追赶"的"凹"型区际格局,以及"东部高协调转型、中西部失调脱离"的协调等级演变格局;③空间关联上,中国数字经济与绿色发展协调度的区域空间联系逐渐由"极化效应"转变为"扩散效应",空间特征从集聚走向均衡;④空间差异及分解上,区域间差异是协调度总体差异的主要来源;⑤驱动机制分析显示,缩小地区数字经济差异是推进数字经济与绿色发展耦合协调的根本动力,而经济发展、产业结构、技术创新等外部差异的缩小未能发挥出应有的积极作用。
Spatio-temporal characteristics and driving mechanism of the coupling coordination between digital economy and green development in China
The mutual empowerment and coordination of digital economy and green development is an inherent requirement for high-quality development.On the basis of deconstructing the coupling coordination mechanism of digital economy and green development,this paper analyzes the spatio-temporal characteristics of the coupling coordination between digital economy and green development in China,as well as the driving mechanism of spatial differences from 2010 to 2019 by using the vertical and horizontal scatter degree method,coupling coordination degree model,and quadratic assignment procedure(QAP).The results show that:(1)In terms of temporal evolution,the coordination degree of China's digital economy and green development has experienced a process of"reluctant coordination-primary coordination-intermediate coordination"during the investigation period,but high-quality coordinated development is far from being achieved,and most provinces are in the primary coordination stage characterized by the lagging digital economy.(2)In terms of spatial change,the spatial differences of coordination are obvious,showing an overall pattern of"multi-core"radiation,a"concave"interregional pattern of"eastern leading,central collapsing,and western catching up",as well as an evolution pattern of coordination levels of"highly coordinated transformation in eastern China,and imbalanced separation in central and western China".(3)In terms of spatial correlation,the regional coordination has gradually changed from"polarization effect"to"diffusion effect",and the spatial characteristics have changed from agglomeration to equilibrium.(4)In terms of spatial differences and decomposition,regional differences are the main source of overall differences in coordination degree.(5)Analysis of driving mechanism shows that narrowing regional differences in digital economy is the fundamental driving force to promote the coupling and coordination of digital economy and green development,while the narrowing of external differences such as economic development,industrial structure and technological innovation fails to play a positive role.

digital economygreen developmentcoupling coordinationspatio-temporal characteristicsQAPChina

邓宗兵、肖沁霖、王炬、李莉萍

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西南大学经济管理学院,重庆 400715

西南大学普惠金融与农业农村发展研究中心,重庆 400715

数字经济 绿色发展 耦合协调 时空特征 QAP 中国

教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金重庆市社会科学规划项目中央高校基本科研业务费专项西南大学项目

19YJA7900052021NDYB058SWU2009221

2024

地理学报
中国地理学会 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所

地理学报

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:3.3
ISSN:0375-5444
年,卷(期):2024.79(4)
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