中国生态福利绩效驱动分解研究
Decomposition of ecological welfare performance drivers in China
董莹 1孙玉环 1丁娇1
作者信息
- 1. 东北财经大学统计学院,大连 116025
- 折叠
摘要
提高生态福利绩效是实现经济可持续发展、推进经济社会全面绿色转型的必要条件.本文围绕居民福利和生态消耗构建了能够量化评估中国生态福利绩效的方法,并在此基础上利用ST-LMDI模型对中国各省份及8个经济区的生态福利绩效进行时间分解和空间分解,拓展当前对生态福利绩效驱动因素分解的研究.研究结果表明,2001-2020年中国生态福利绩效呈现出先升后降的变动趋势,空间上具有显著的地区差异性.其中沿海地区社会经济结构和民生性财政支出具有更高优势,生态福利绩效处于较高水平,且表现出空间溢出效应.引入社会效益、经济效益、人口分散度、建成区人口密度、城市化规模和生态可持续能力6个因素探索其对生态福利绩效的驱动作用,发现时间和空间分解结果表现出显著差异.基于时间分解结果,经济效益和城市化规模为促进生态福利绩效提升的主要因素,人口分散度是抑制生态福利绩效增加的主要因素.但从空间分解结果看,决定各省生态福利高于均值的驱动因素在不同时期内存在区域差异和动态变化特征.综合考虑时间和空间分解结果,全面把握经济增长、生态保护和居民福利提升的关系,有助于为地方政府制订并实施差异化政策提供参考.
Abstract
To achieve sustainable economic development and promote the comprehensive green transformation of the economy and society,it is necessary to improve ecological welfare performance.This study constructed a method of quantitatively evaluating ecological welfare performance in China based on residents'welfare and ecological consumption.On this basis,the ST-LMDI model was used for spatial and temporal decomposition of the ecological welfare performance of provincial-level regions and economic zones in China,thus expanding the current research on the decomposition of the driving factors of ecological welfare performance.The results of the study were as follows.First,the trend for China's ecological welfare performance from 2001 to 2020 was first increasing and then decreasing,with significant regional differences.Additionally,because of their advantages in socioeconomic structure and livelihood-based fiscal expenditures,the coastal regions had a higher ecological welfare performance and also showed spatial spillover effects.Second,the six factors of social benefits,economic benefits,population dispersion,population density in built-up areas,scale of urbanization,and ecological sustainability were introduced to explore their driving roles on ecological welfare performance.The findings showed that the spatial and temporal decomposition results were significantly different.The temporal decomposition results proved that economic benefits and scale of urbanization were the main factors promoting ecological welfare performance,whereas population dispersion inhibited growth of ecological welfare performance.However,the spatial decomposition indicated that the drivers that determine above-average ecological welfare in each provincial-level region showed regional differences and dynamic changes in different periods.The combination of spatial and temporal decomposition and the relationships among economic growth,ecological conservation,and enhancement of residents'welfare are comprehensively helpful to provide reference for local governments to formulate and implement differentiated policies.
关键词
时空双维度/生态福利绩效/可持续福利指数/ST-LMDI/中国Key words
two-dimensional perspective of time and space/ecological welfare performance/sustainable welfare index/ST-LMDI/China引用本文复制引用
基金项目
国家社会科学基金(18ZDA126)
国家自然科学基金(71934001)
出版年
2024
NETL
NSTL
万方数据