An analysis of the historical evolution of the shatter belt from the perspective of geo-setting:A case study of the South Caucasus
The shatter belt is the main region of global conflict and great power competition,and it has the basic characteristics of external compression,internal fragmentation and dynamic process,and it is a geographical region formed under the action of both internal and external scales.The basic characteristics and development mode of the shatter belt are consistent with the core concept of geo-setting research.From the perspective of geo-setting,the shatter belt is a constantly evolving geographical region with the interactive practice of multiple actors inside and outside the region as the core.Through interactive practice,the decision information generated by the shatter belt is integrated into the material and conceptual factors of the action of the geo-actors.Under such constraints,the arrangement and correlation of these decision behaviors in time series constitute the core content of its historical evolution.We selected the South Caucasus region at the junction of Asia and Europe as the research region.Since the independence of the three South Caucasus countries in 1991,this region has experienced a complex process of internal conflicts and external games,which can be used as a typical case for the analysis of the shatter belt.This paper establishes an analytical framework for the historical evolution of the shatter belt from the perspective of geo-setting,examines the historical evolution process and stage characteristics of the three countries after their independence from 1991 to 2020 from the perspectives of background factors,correlation factors and structural factors,and analyzes the internal ways to promote their historical evolution from the three aspects of cross-domain interaction,cross-scale coupling and multi-actor game.From the perspective of geo-political theory,it presents the historical evolution process of the shatter belt in a multi-dimensional way,and is committed to regionality,comprehensiveness and scale of geographical research into the research of history and international relations,so as to achieve interdisciplinary dialogue.
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