首页|黄土高原植被变化主导空间模态及其影响因素

黄土高原植被变化主导空间模态及其影响因素

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明晰气候变化和人类活动对生态建设的影响机制,是区域生态保护与高质量发展研究的热点问题.引入"远离人类活动区"的概念,分区、分时深化认识人类活动对植被变化的影响,对科学制定黄土高原生态恢复空间策略具有实践意义.本文基于MODIS归一化植被指数(NDVI),采用经验正交分解法、残差趋势分析等方法,对2000-2022年黄土高原植被变化特征进行研究,探讨人类活动和气候变化对植被快速恢复区的相对作用,分析黄土高原南部植被年代异常的影响因素.结果表明:①随着三北防护林、退耕还林草工程等深入实施,2012-2022年黄土高原NDVI增加速率有所减缓,并未呈现先转好后稳定,甚至退化的趋势.②无论是人类活动强区(耕地、城镇、土地利用转型区),还是人类活动弱区(人类活动未改变土地利用类型),人类活动均是黄土高原植被变化的主导因素,其贡献率均超过65%,约是气候变化贡献率的2.0倍.③6月降水年代异常,是黄土高原南部植被东西反向异常变化的关键指示气候因子.当6月降水增加10 mm时,黄土高原东南部ND VI将减少1.4%,黄土高原西南部NDVI将增加1.7%.将时空信息耦合,明晰植被趋势和年代波动的空间范围,对全球或中国其他生态敏感区植被变化归因方法完善具有启示意义.
Identifying the spatio-temporal pattern of vegetation change and influencing factors on the Loess Plateau between 2000 and 2022
Quantifying the contributions of climate change and human activities to changes in vegetation is important in terms of regional ecological protection and future research on the Loess Plateau.However,in the case of areas with naturally regenerated vegetation,where there are no clearly visible indications of human activities and ecological processes are not significantly disturbed,not all relevant forms of human activity can be remotely detected.Therefore,modelling the intensity of human modification of natural ecosystems could provide a pathway for a better understanding of the questions concerning where and how much vegetation change occurs in areas with evidence of human activities or land-use change.In this study,we utilized the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index(NDVI)between 2000 and 2022 and land-use datasets(a spatial resolution of 30 m)collected in 2000,2010,and 2020 to distinguish areas with strong and weak anthropogenic interference on the Loess Plateau.In those areas with clearly visible human activity,we explored the relative contributions of climate change and human activity to vegetation dynamics.Taking the lagged duration variation between climate factors and vegetation growth into consideration,climatic factors influencing vegetation decadal dynamics were identified in the southern part of the Loess Plateau.The results are as follows:(1)With the implementation of the Three-North Shelter Forest Program,Grain-to-Green Program,and other ecological projects,the rate of vegetation restoration on the Loess Plateau slowed by 3.4%/10a during the period 2012-2022;however,the overall trend was an increase in vegetation.(2)In sensitive areas of vegetation restoration in the Loess Plateau,human activities with a relative contribution exceeding 65%were the dominant factors of vegetation variability in the areas with both intensive and weak human interference,which is approximately 2.0-fold higher than the contribution of climate change.(3)The interdecadal anomalies of precipitation in June were effective indicators of opposite west-east vegetation anomalies in the southern part of the Loess Plateau.Specifically,when precipitation increased by 10 mm in June,this southeastern part witnessed a decrease of 1.4%in NDVI in contrast with a 1.7%increase in the southwestern part.By coupling temporal and spatial information we have clarified the spatial distribution of trends and decadal variations in NDVI and its influencing factors.These observations from the Loess Plateau provide useful insights to help understand the relationship between vegetation change,climate change,and human activities on vegetation restoration globally or in other regions of China.

climate changevegetation restorationremote sensing monitoringattribution analysisLoess Plateau

李双双、段生勇、胡佳岚、延军平

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陕西师范大学地理科学与旅游学院,西安 710119

气候变化 植被恢复 遥感监测 归因分析 黄土高原

国家自然科学基金项目

U2243231

2024

地理学报
中国地理学会 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所

地理学报

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:3.3
ISSN:0375-5444
年,卷(期):2024.79(7)
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