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中国重大生产力布局演变与空间形态模拟

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重大生产力关系到国家长治久安和持续繁荣,也是提高经济效率,促进区域协调发展,增强国际竞争力的有力手段。本文通过收集历史文献、区域社会经济统计数据以及灯光遥感等多源数据,借用MCR模型、核密度分析和标准差椭圆等技术方法,总结归纳了不同时期中国重大生产力布局及其空间形态。主要结论为:① 中国重大生产力布局遵循了经济地理学集聚、扩散循环演变的规律,经历了均衡—分散—集中—协调—高质量优势互补的演变,具体表现为"156工程"向西部少数地理空间集中、"三线建设"中西部分散、东部沿海集中、向内陆梯度推进,但发展的重心始终在"胡焕庸线"的东南区域;② 重大生产力空间形态模拟结果遵循了区域发展阶段理论,即中国向高质量发展过程中先后出现点(极核)、"点—轴"、"点—轴"体系(网络)不同空间形态,形成以沿海沿江"T"字型主骨架、其他中心城市和交通干线为补充的多级"点—轴"系统,推动国土空间向均衡发展;③ 中国重大生产力发展布局的主要影响因素因时而异,地缘环境影响了早期的空间布局,后来则是国家战略、政策与市场的合力使然;GTWR进一步揭示影响其发展布局的因素存在显著的时空异质性。本文围绕重大生产力布局及其空间形态的研究,可为当下优化重大生产力布局,构建优势互补、高质量发展的区域经济布局和国土空间体系提供理论借鉴。
Evolution of major productive force layout and spatial form simulation in China
Major productive forces are crucial to the country's long-term stability and sustained prosperity,and are also a powerful means of improving economic efficiency,promoting coordinated regional development,and strengthening international competitiveness.This paper summarizes the layout of China's major productive forces and their spatial patterns in different periods by collecting multi-source data such as historical documents,regional socio-economic statistical data and remote sensing of light,and borrowing technical methods such as MCR model,kernel density analysis and standard deviation ellipse,etc.The main conclusions are as follows:(1)The layout of China's major productive forces follows the law of economic geography agglomeration and diffusion cycle evolution,and has experienced the evolution of balanced development-decentralised development-centralised development-coordinated development-high-quality complementary development.This is manifested in the concentration of 156 projects to a few geographic spaces in the western region of China,dispersion in the central and western regions during the Third Front Movement,concentration along the eastern coast,and a gradient advancement toward the inland.However,the focus of development has always been in the southeast region along the Hu Huanyong line.(2)The results of the spatial pattern simulation of major productive forces follow the theory of regional development stages.During China's high-level development process,different spatial patterns have emerged successively:points(core poles),point-axis,and point-axis system(network),forming a multi-level pole-axis system with a"T"main framework along the coast and the Yangtze River,supplemented by other central cities and transportation arteries,in order to promote the balanced development of territorial space.(3)The main influencing factors of the development layout of China's major productive forces vary from time to time,with the geo-environment influencing the spatial layout in the early stage,and then the combined force of national strategies,policies and markets;GTWR further reveals that there is significant spatial and temporal heterogeneity in the factors influencing the development layout.The GTWR further reveals that there is significant spatial and temporal heterogeneity in the factors affecting its development layout.This study focuses on the layout and spatial patterns of the major productive forces,which can provide practical references for optimizing the layout of major productive forces and constructing a regional economic layout and national spatial system with complementary advantages and high-quality development.

major productive forces"pole-axis system"theorylayout evolutionGTWRspatial formChina

曹卫东、曹继、张文瑞、岳文博、曹玉红

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安徽师范大学地理与旅游学院,芜湖 241002

安徽师范大学生态与环境学院,芜湖 241002

重大生产力 "点—轴系统"理论 布局演变 GTWR 空间形态 中国

2024

地理学报
中国地理学会 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所

地理学报

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:3.3
ISSN:0375-5444
年,卷(期):2024.79(12)