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中国海洋经济高质量发展的时空演进与驱动因素

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海洋经济高质量发展是加快海洋强国建设、实现中国式现代化的重点任务.结合海洋经济及其高质量发展的科学内涵,本文基于海洋经济、社会、环境系统和创新、协调、绿色、开放、共享的新发展理念的双重视角,通过纵横向拉开档次法和定基功效系数法合成海洋经济高质量发展指数.在此基础上,综合运用Dagum基尼系数、Markov矩阵、标准差椭圆、地理探测器等统计方法,系统探讨了沿海省区市海洋经济高质量发展的时空演进特征与驱动因素.研究表明:① 海洋经济高质量发展综合水平不断提高得益于海洋经济、社会、环境系统的协同优化,广东、山东、上海、江苏、浙江是引领海洋经济提质增效的重点区域.② 海洋经济发展质量存在明显的时空分异,南部蓝色经济圈内部差距较大,与北部、东部蓝色经济圈间的差距突出.③ 海洋经济高质量发展在曲折中前行,在时间上,绝大多数省区市拥有向更高质量等级进阶的动力,但跃迁难度逐步增大;在空间上,海洋经济地理格局的重心始终位于长三角地区,形成"一核两翼"的稳态空间结构.④ 海洋经济质量面优化是新发展理念共同作用的结果,在海洋强国战略出台后创新赋能取代开放共赢成为第一动能.为在更高水平上扎实推进海洋经济高质量发展,需发挥蓝色经济区引领作用、增强海洋产业核心竞争力、高标准建设自由贸易港、推进科教兴海事业培育新质生产力、深化海洋生态文明建设并济,厘清沿海省区市的重点任务,助推海洋经济、社会、环境系统良性运转,完成由海洋大国向海洋强国转型的光荣使命.
Spatio-temporal evolution and driving factors of high-quality marine economic development in China
High-quality development of the marine economy is a key task for accelerating the construction of a maritime power,so as to realize Chinese-style modernization.This paper defines the scientific connotation of marine economy and its high-quality development.Based on the three major systems of marine economy and the five new development concepts,this paper synthesizes the high-quality development index of marine economy by means of vertical and horizontal separation grade method and fixed-base efficiency coefficient method.Then,with the help of the method of Dagum Gini coefficient,Markov matrix,standard deviation ellipse and geographic detector,spatio-temporal evolution and driving factors of high-quality development in coastal areas are systematically discussed.The results show that:(1)The continuous improvement of the comprehensive level of high-quality marine economic development is due to the collaborative optimization of marine economic,social and environmental systems.Guangdong,Shandong,Shanghai,Jiangsu and Zhejiang are key regions leading the improvement of marine economic quality and efficiency.(2)The quality of marine economic development has obvious spatial and temporal differences.To be specific,there is a large gap within the southern blue economic circle,and the gap between the northern and eastern blue economic circles is also the most prominent.(3)The high-quality development of marine economy is moving forward in twists and turns.In terms of time,most provinces have the power to advance to a higher level,but the difficulty of transition is gradually increasing;In terms of space,the center of gravity of the marine economy's geographical pattern is always located in the Yangtze River Delta,forming a steady-state spatial structure of"one core and two wings".(4)The optimization of the quality of marine economy is the result of the joint action of the new development concept.After the introduction of the strategy of maritime power,innovation empowerment has replaced opening-up as the first driving force.In order to steadily promote the high-quality development of the marine economy at a higher level,it is necessary to implement the new development concept,which include give full play to the leading role of the blue economic zone,enhance the core competitiveness of the marine industry,build a free trade port with high standards,promote the cause of revitalizing the sea through science and education to cultivate new quality productive forces,deepen the construction of marine ecological civilization as well as clarify the key tasks of coastal areas.In this way,the sound operation of the marine economic,social and environmental systems tend to be promoted,completing the glorious mission of transforming to a maritime power.

marine economyhigh-quality developmentscientific connotationspatio-temporal evolutiondriving factorChina

孙久文、蒋治、胡俊彦

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中国人民大学应用经济学院,北京 100872

中国人寿保险(集团)公司,北京 100033

国寿投资保险资产管理有限公司,北京 100033

海洋经济 高质量发展 科学内涵 时空演进 驱动因素 中国

2024

地理学报
中国地理学会 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所

地理学报

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:3.3
ISSN:0375-5444
年,卷(期):2024.79(12)