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中国托育机构空间分异特征与影响因素

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基于国家卫生健康委员会2024年6月公布的托育机构数据,以中国336个地级行政区为研究单元,运用ArcGIS空间分析方法探究中国托育机构的空间分异特征,采用地理加权回归揭示空间分异的影响因素.研究发现:① 中国托育机构总体呈现东多西少的集聚型分布格局,"大集聚、小分散"的空间分布特征显著,形成长三角、珠三角、环渤海三大高密度区和多个以省会、首府为核心的单核集聚点;② 中国托育机构数量与城市等级呈明显正相关,托育机构数量少、较少的城市数量多、范围广.数量多的城市基本位于东部沿海地区,在成都、重庆、合肥、郑州等中西部直辖市或省会城市也有分布,数量少的城市广泛分布在西部和东北地区.③ 0~4岁人口数量对托育机构空间分异具有决定性作用,城镇居民人均可支配收入、劳动参与率、平均家庭户规模是影响托育机构空间分异的辅助因素.除平均家庭户规模总体上呈负向影响外,其他因子总体上呈正向影响.伴随城市等级的下降,各辅助因素的影响力呈逐级递减趋势,对五线城市的影响力极其有限.最后为中国托育服务业发展提出了针对性的对策建议.
Spatial differentiation characteristics and influencing factors of childcare institutions in China
Based on the data from childcare institutions released by the National Health Commission in June 2024,this study examines the spatial differentiation of childcare institutions across China using four provincial-level cities and 332 prefecture-level regions.The research employs ArcGIS spatial analysis methods and Geographically Weighted Regression(GWR)to uncover the influencing factors behind this spatial variation.Key findings include:(1)Childcare institutions in China predominantly exhibit a clustered distribution,characterized by a greater concentration in the east and sparser distribution in the west.This pattern manifests as"large clusters and small dispersions,"with significant clusters forming in the Yangtze River Delta,Pearl River Delta,and Bohai Rim,and numerous monocentric clusters centered around provincial capitals and major cities.(2)The number of childcare institutions is positively correlated with the tier of the city.Cities with fewer childcare facilities are numerous and spread out,primarily located in the western and northeastern regions.In contrast,cities with a larger number of institutions are mainly situated in the eastern coastal areas and major central-western cities such as Chengdu,Chongqing,Hefei,and Zhengzhou.(3)The population of children aged 0-4 years plays a decisive role in the spatial distribution of childcare institutions.Per capita disposable income of urban residents,the labor participation rate,and average household size serve as auxiliary factors influencing this spatial variation.While the average household size generally has a negative influence,other factors positively affect the distribution.As city tiers decrease,the impact of these auxiliary factors lessens,with minimal influence on fifth-tier cities.In conclusion,the study offers targeted recommendations for the development of China's childcare services industry.

childcare institutionsspatial differentiationinfluencing factorsGeographically Weighted RegressionChina

鄢继尧、赵媛、谭万丽、熊筱燕、赵丽芬

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南京师范大学地理科学学院 江苏省地理信息资源开发与利用协同创新中心,南京 210023

南京师范大学金陵女子学院,南京 210097

托育机构 空间分异 影响因素 地理加权回归 中国

2024

地理学报
中国地理学会 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所

地理学报

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:3.3
ISSN:0375-5444
年,卷(期):2024.79(12)