Analysis of spatial distribution characteristics and influence factors of urban retail outlets changes:A case study of the Sixth Ring Road in Beijing
At present,most research mainly focuses on analyzing the spatial layout characteristics and driving forces of retail outlets,with relatively insufficient research on their changing spatial distribution.This study aims to investigate the spatial distribution features and analyze the influencing factors of retail outlet changes in Beijing from 2015 to 2017.The research employs significance testing of changes,hotspot analysis,and counting models to achieve this objective.①Significance Testing of Changes:The study utilizes significance testing to compare the overall changes in retail outlets within Beijing's Sixth Ring Road from 2015 to 2017.This statistical approach allows for an assessment of the magnitude and significance of the observed changes.②Hotspot Analysis:Hotspot analysis is employed to identify areas with significantly higher or lower changes in retail outlets.Specifically,the focus is on the increased presence of retail outlets in the eastern Sixth Ring,particularly in the Chaoyang and Tongzhou districts,and the notable decrease in the southeastern part encompassing Chaoyang,Fengtai,Tongzhou,and Daxing districts from the Third Ring to the Sixth Ring.③Counting Models:Counting models are applied to analyze the correlation between the density of road networks,the presence of subway stations,land use factors(such as floor area ratio),and rental rates with the probability of retail outlet changes.The study explores how factors like dense road networks,high floor area ratios,and lower rental rates contribute to an increased probability of retail outlet growth,while sparse road networks,high building coverage,and higher rental rates correspond to a higher probability of retail outlet decline.①Overall Changes within the Sixth Ring(2015-2017):The retail outlets within Beijing's Sixth Ring Road experienced a more significant overall increase compared to a decrease during the period.②Regional Disparities(2015-2017):Retail outlet growth in the eastern Sixth Ring,specifically in Chaoyang and Tongzhou,outpaced other areas.Conversely,the southeastern region from the Third Ring to the Sixth Ring,including Chaoyang,Fengtai,Tongzhou,and Daxing,witnessed a more pronounced decline.③Influence of Urban Factors:The study identifies a correlation between urban factors and retail outlet changes.Areas with denser road networks,more subway stations,higher floor area ratios,and lower rental rates exhibit a higher probability of retail outlet growth,while areas with sparse road networks,greater building coverage,and higher rental rates show a higher likelihood of retail outlet decline.This research provides empirical evidence that the execution of relevant policies in Beijing aligns with the observed changes in the urban retail industry.The findings offer valuable insights for subsequent urban planning,layout design,and policy adjustments,serving as a reference for future initiatives in the dynamic landscape of the city's retail sector.
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