首页|基于支持向量机的华南斜坡类地质灾害易发性评价:以肇庆市怀集县为例

基于支持向量机的华南斜坡类地质灾害易发性评价:以肇庆市怀集县为例

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以广东为代表的华南地区地质条件和气象条件复杂,受人类活动影响大,需要研究适合的诱发因子及模型进行地质灾害易发性评估;常规的易发性评价方法已有信息量模型或支持向量机等,但区域应用方面仍有提升空间.本文以广东省肇庆市怀集县为研究对象,基于数字高程模型结合资源三号卫星遥感影像,综合选取地形、植被覆盖、地质构造、降水分布、人类活动等11个致灾因子,采用支持向量机模型,对地质灾害的空间分布规律及其影响因素进行综合分析,获得研究区域斜坡类地质灾害隐患易发性评价结果;为验证方法可行性,与已有的信息量模型进行比较评价.研究表明:①根据评价结果极高易发区、高易发区分布的面积所占比其划分结果与研究区内地质灾害实际发育情况吻合,能够反映研究区地灾分布的总体特征.②SVM模型和信息量模型的预测结果均显示,研究区域非常容易发生滑坡危险,特别是在断裂带附近;但SVM模型的精度AUC值更高.
Evaluating the vulnerability of slope-related geological hazards in Southern China based on support vector machine:A case study of Huaiji County,Zhaoqing City
South China,particularly represented by Guangdong Province,is prone to frequent geological disasters that are characterized by small scale and wide distribution.These disasters are predominantly skewed towards certain regions.According to relevant statistics,Zhaoqing City in Guangdong Province has over 400 hidden dangers related to geological disasters,directly threatening approximately 40,000 people.The prevention and control of these geological disasters have become increasingly challenging due to several factors.These include an increase in extreme weather conditions such as local heavy rainfall and strong tropical storms,as well as the impact of human-made engineering activities like urban construction,transportation development,water conservancy projects,and major industrial initiatives driven by economic growth.Huaiji County within Zhaoqing City possesses an extremely fragile geological environment.The region experiences frequent and intense precipitation during its annual rainy season.It exhibits typical geological and geomorphological characteristics of South China,making it a high incidence area for geological hazards.This makes Huaiji County both an important and difficult area for evaluation and research.In this study,Huaiji County was selected as the research pilot area.Utilizing multi-source remote sensing satellite data and airborne LiDAR point cloud data,we evaluated slope height,slope angle,rainfall,surface lithology,and vegetation index as key factors.Both information models and support vector machine(SVM)models were employed to comprehensively interpret and compare the spatial distribution rules and influencing factors of geological hazards in the area.The evaluation results for slope geological hazards in the study area were obtained and verified through superposition analysis using existing geological disaster datasets.The findings indicate that the geological hazard susceptibility evaluation results align well with the distribution of existing geological hazard sites.Compared to the area under the curve(AUC)value of 0.6036 from the ROC curve accuracy of the information model,the SVM model demonstrated superior performance with an AUC value of 0.8043.In conclusion,the support vector machine model method proposed in this study proves to be feasible and reliable for evaluating the vulnerability of slope geological hazards.This research constructed a landslide susceptibility map of the study area,confirming that the region is highly susceptible to landslide dangers,especially near fault zones.Future steps involve deepening the interpretation of micro-scale geological hazards from a geological structure perspective,thereby laying a foundation for effective identification of disaster hazards and scientific assessment and grading of risks.

geological hazardsusceptibility assessmentsupport vector machineinducing factorreceiver operating characteristic curve

刘金沧、王欢欢、李云、杨婷

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广东省国土资源测绘院,广州 510663

自然资源部华南热带亚热带自然资源监测重点实验室,广州 510663

广东省自然资源科技协同创新中心,广州 510663

地质灾害 易发性评估 支持向量机 诱发因子 ROC

2024

地理信息世界
中国地理信息产业协会 黑龙江测绘地理信息局

地理信息世界

CSTPCD
影响因子:0.826
ISSN:1672-1586
年,卷(期):2024.31(6)