Based on the tourism data of 31 provinces in China during the Golden Week holidays from 2010 to 2019,this paper ex-plored the spatial-temporal evolution of the Golden Week tourism multiplication effect and its influencing factors using kernel density estimation,exploratory spatial data analysis,and spatial econometric modeling.It is found as follows.① During the stud-y period,China's inter-provincial tourism multiplication effect during the Golden Week holidays generally showed an increasing trend,but regional differences gradually expanded.② The spatial distribution of the tourism multiplication effect during the Na-tional Day and Spring Festival holidays was obviously different.The tourism multiplication effect of the National Day holiday was"high in the east and low in the west"and varied greatly,but that of the Spring Festival holiday formed three stable high-value areas:Northeast,Southwest,and Guangdong-Hainan.③ There is an obvious spatial dependence for the Golden Week tourism in China.Provinces with high/low tourism multiplication effect,their surrounding provinces also have high/low multi-plication effect.④ GDP per capita and highway mileage had a negative impact on the tourism multiplication effect during the National Day holiday,while the number of 4A and 5A scenic spots and railroad mileage had a positive impact.Winter climate comfort,ice and snow tourism index,the number of 4A and 5A scenic spots had a positive impact on the tourism multiplication effect during the Spring Festival holiday.These results can enrich the theory of holiday tourism and provide a reference for rec-ognizing the spatial-temporal differentiation and influencing factors of the Golden Week tourism.
关键词
黄金周旅游/倍增效应/时空格局/影响因素
Key words
Golden Week tourism/multiplication effect/spatial-temporal pattern/influencing factors
维普
万方数据