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中国银行业资源错配的时空异质性及其驱动机制

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解决中国银行业资源错配问题能改善金融资源配置不合理现状,对提升金融服务实体经济效率、实现金融高质量发展具有重要意义.该文分析了 2011-2020年中国29个省域银行业资本错配和劳动力错配的时空异质性,并利用随机森林模型对时空异质性的驱动机制进行探究.结果表明:①研究期内中国银行业资本错配水平总体呈上升趋势,劳动力错配水平略有下降,二者均具有明显的梯度效应,多极分化趋势显著,资本错配水平低于劳动力错配水平,劳动力错配情况更严重;②银行业资源错配空间分布差异均较显著,其中,资本错配空间分布呈总体分散、片状集聚的特点,劳动力错配以片状集聚分布为主;③资源错配的时空异质性是多种因素共同驱动的结果,城镇化水平、金融分权、人力资本发展、金融开放和产业结构是影响银行业资本错配时空异质性的关键驱动因素,劳动力错配时空异质性的关键驱动因素在上述5个因素基础上,增加了金融发展和劳动力流动,金融分权的深化和产业结构的优化可以同时降低银行业资本错配和劳动力错配水平.
Spatio-temporal Heterogeneity and Its Driving Mechanism of Resource Misallocation in the Banking Industry of China
To solve the problem of resource misallocation in the banking industry of China can improve the irrational allocation of financial resources,which is of great practical significance to enhance the efficiency of financial service and achieve high-quali-ty development of finance.Based on the measurement of capital and labor misallocation in the banking industry of China from 2011 to 2020,this paper analyzes the spatio-temporal heterogeneity of capital and labor misallocation and studies the driving mechanism of spatio-temporal heterogeneity by using random forest model.It is found as follows.① The level of capital misallo-cation in the banking industry is on the rise,while the level of labor misallocation is on the decline.Both have obvious gradient effect,and the trend of multi-polarization is obvious.The level of capital misallocation in the banking industry is lower than that of labor misallocation.(2)The spatial distribution of capital misallocation in the banking industry is characterized by overall dis-persion and patchy agglomeration,while the spatial distribution of labor misallocation is mainly patchy agglomeration.③ The spatio-temporal heterogeneity of the resource misallocation is driving by many factors.Urbanization level,financial decentraliza-tion,human capital development,financial openness and industrial structure are the key driving factors that affect the spatio-temporal heterogeneity of capital misallocation in the banking industry.In addition to the above five factors,the key driving fac-tors of the spatio-temporal heterogeneity of labor misallocation include financial development and labor mobility.The deepening of financial decentralization and the optimization of industrial structure can reduce the level of capital and labor misallocation.

capital misallocationlabor misallocationspatio-temporal heterogeneitykernel densityrandom forest

赵文厦、郭庆宾

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海南大学管理学院,海南海口 570228

海南大学经济学院,海南海口 570228

资本错配 劳动力错配 时空异质性 核密度 随机森林

国家社会科学基金海南省哲学社会科学规划一般项目

23BJL004HNSKYB22-56

2024

地理与地理信息科学
河北省科学院地理科学研究所

地理与地理信息科学

CSTPCDCHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.122
ISSN:1672-0504
年,卷(期):2024.40(3)
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