首页|降碳减污视角下山东省农业绿色发展效率的时空格局与影响因素分析

降碳减污视角下山东省农业绿色发展效率的时空格局与影响因素分析

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基于降碳减污视角构建农业绿色发展效率评价指标体系,综合采用Super-EBM模型、核密度估计、Global Malmquist-Luenberger指数及面板Tobit模型分析2001-2021年山东省农业绿色发展效率时空格局、演变特征和影响因素.结果显示:①研究期内山东省农业绿色发展综合效率和纯技术效率呈"W"形演变轨迹,规模效率平稳上升,农业绿色发展效率由规模驱动转为由规模、技术共同驱动;②山东省农业绿色发展效率空间格局由低水平交错分布向高水平均衡分布演变,纯技术效率的高水平均衡分布特征趋于显著,规模效率仍表现出较明显的空间非均衡性,形成"东西高、中部低"的带状空间格局;③山东省农业绿色全要素生产率缓慢上升,缘于技术进步和纯技术效率提高,其中以后者贡献为主,而规模效率具有一定抑制作用;④居民富裕程度、数字经济对农业绿色发展综合效率和纯技术效率具有正向作用,产业结构优化、城镇化水平提高对农业绿色发展规模效率具有负向作用.
Spatio-temporal Pattern and Influencing Factors of Agricultural Green Development Efficiency in Shandong Province under the Perspective of Reduction of Pollution and Carbon Emissions
An evaluation index system for agricultural green development efficiency was constructed from the perspective of re-duction of pollution and carbon emissions.The Super-EBM model,Kernel density estimation model,Global Malmquist-Luen-berger index and the panel Tobit model were comprehensively used to analyze the spatiotemporal pattern,evolution trend and in-fluencing factors of agricultural green development efficiency in Shandong from 2001 to 2021.It is found as follows.① From 2001 to 2021,the comprehensive efficiency and pure technical efficiency of agricultural green development in Shandong showed a W-shaped evolution trajectory,and the scale efficiency had risen steadily,and the efficiency of agricultural green development had changed from scale driven mode to scale and technology co-driven mode.② The overall efficiency of agricultural green de-velopment in Shandong had improved,and the spatial pattern of agricultural green development efficiency evolved from low-level staggered distribution to high-level balanced distribution.The pure technical efficiency tended to be high level equilibrium distri-bution,and the scale efficiency showed a significant spatial imbalance,forming a belt spatial pattern of"high in the east and west,low in the middle".③ The green total factor productivity of agriculture in Shandong was rising slowly,and the technologi-cal progress and pure technical efficiency improvement were the important sources for its growth.The pure technical efficiency has become the main contributor,while scale efficiency has a certain inhibitory effect on the growth of total factor productivity in most regions.④ Residents'affluence and digital economy have a positive impact on the comprehensive efficiency and pure technical efficiency of agricultural green development,while the optimization of industrial structure and improvement of urbani-zation level may have a negative impact on the improvement of scale efficiency of agricultural green development.

reduction of pollution and carbon emissionsnet carbon sinkefficiency of agricultural green developmentSuper-EBMShandong Province

李垚、赵林、宋小语、张春霆、焦新颖

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曲阜师范大学地理与旅游学院,山东 日照 276826

河北地质大学土地科学与空间规划学院,河北石家庄 050031

降碳减污 净碳汇 农业绿色发展效率 Super-EBM 山东省

山东省自然科学基金面上项目山东省高等学校青创团队计划日照市自然科学基金青年基金

ZR2022MD1042023RW048RZ2021ZR36

2024

10.3969/j.issn.1672-0504.2024.03.014

地理与地理信息科学
河北省科学院地理科学研究所

地理与地理信息科学

CSTPCDCHSSCD北大核心
影响因子：1.122
ISSN：1672-0504
年,卷(期)：2024.40(3)
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