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中国市域数字经济韧性的时空演化与影响因素分析

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采用探索性时空数据分析、地理探测器和时空地理加权回归等方法分析2011-2021年中国279个城市数字经济韧性的时空跃迁特征及主要影响因子的作用方向与作用强度.结果显示:①研究期内数字经济韧性水平整体呈上升态势,高水平地区呈"菱形"空间分布格局.②多数城市的数字经济韧性局部空间转移方向较稳定,具有一定的路径依赖性.③电信业务收入、移动电话用户数、互联网宽带接入用户数、数字金融覆盖广度和数字金融使用深度具有较强解释力,其中,前三位因子对各城市数字经济韧性的影响均为促进作用,后两位因子以促进作用为主;从作用强度看,电信业务收入对数字经济韧性的平均影响程度呈下降趋势,其余4个因子均呈上升趋势.
Space-Time Transition and Influencing Factors of Urban Digital Economy Resilience in China
This paper took 279 cities in China as research objects and adopted exploratory spatial-temporal data analysis(EST-DA),geographical detector,geographically and temporally weighted regression(GTWR)to analyze the space-time transition characteristics of urban digital economic resilience and the action direction and strength of the main influencing factors.The re-sults are shown as follows.① The overall level of digital economy resilience is on the rise,with the high-level regions represen-ted by Beijing,Tianjin,Shanghai,Guangzhou,Shenzhen,Chongqing and Chengdu showing a spatial pattern of"rhombus".②The local spatial shift of digital economy resilience in most Chinese cities is relatively stable,with certain path-dependent charac-teristics.③ The geographical detector empirical evidence shows that telecommunication business revenue,the number of mobile phone subscribers,the number of Internet broadband access subscribers,the breadth of digital financial coverage and the depth of digital financial use have strong explanatory power.The GTWR empirical evidence shows that telecommunication business revenue,the number of Internet broadband access subscribers and the number of mobile phone subscribers have facilitating ac-tion on the digital economic resilience of each city,while the breadth of digital financial coverage and the depth of digital finan-cial use have a mainly promoting effect.In terms of the effect strength,the average impact of telecommunication business reve-nue on digital economic resilience shows a downward trend over time,while the other four factors show an upward trend.

digital economy resiliencespace-time transitionESTDAinfluencing factors

丁锐、傅俊、朱宇琦、杜琳钰

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贵州财经大学大数据应用与经济学院(贵阳大数据金融学院),贵州贵阳 550025

贵州省绿色金融与生态环境保护协同创新中心,贵州贵阳 550025

贵州财经大学人工智能与数字金融实验室,贵州贵阳 550025

数字经济韧性 时空跃迁 探索性时空数据分析 影响因素

国家自然科学基金项目贵州财经大学2022年度在校生科学研究项目

720010532022ZXSY023

2024

地理与地理信息科学
河北省科学院地理科学研究所

地理与地理信息科学

CSTPCDCHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.122
ISSN:1672-0504
年,卷(期):2024.40(4)
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