Pattern Evolution and Spatial Spillover Effect of Urban Resilience in the Yangtze River Delta
This paper adopts the comprehensive weighting method and kernel density analysis method to study the spatio-tempo-ral evolution characteristics of urban resilience in the Yangtze River Delta from 2010 to 2020.The Hurst index is used to predict the evolution trend of urban resilience,and the spatial Durbin model is used to reveal the spatial spillover effect of urban resili-ence.ft is found as follows.① From 2010 to 2020,the resilience level of cities in the Yangtze River Delta has increased as a whole,with an average annual growth rate of 4.23％,and the resilience of each subsystem has increased significantly.The dif-ferentiation of urban resilience between developed cities and resource-based cities has expanded.② From 2010 to 2020,the spatial po-larization of urban resilience in the Yangtze River Delta tends to be significant,showing that H-H agglomeration areas are mainly dis-tributed near southern Jiangsu and L-L agglomeration areas are mainly located in northern Anhui where resource cities are con-centrated.In the future,the urban resilience level of 92.68％of cities is consistent with the existing trend,and the urban resili-ence development level of more than 1/4 of cities has a good trend.③ The improvement of openness can effectively improve the urban resilience level of local cities,and the improvement of financial risks and industrial structure will weaken the level of local urban resilience.The improvement of ecological prevention,digitalization level,industrial structure and openness can effectively promote the development of the urban resilience level of surrounding cities.
urban resilienceHurst indexspatial Durbin modelthe Yangtze River Delta
万方数据
维普
