首页|"双碳"目标下京津冀城市群碳强度与经济高质量发展协同研究

"双碳"目标下京津冀城市群碳强度与经济高质量发展协同研究

扫码查看
该文基于京津冀地区13个城市的面板数据,采用耦合协调度模型测度2006-2020年碳强度与经济高质量发展协同水平,利用核密度估计、Dagum基尼系数和空间计量模型分析协同水平的动态演进、差异来源及其驱动因素.结果表明:①研究期内京津冀城市群碳强度与经济高质量发展协同水平上升趋势明显,以中度协同为主,空间上呈现以京津为中心向四周扩散的集聚发展格局;②城市群整体和三大区域协同水平动态演进趋势均表现出协同水平提高、绝对差异减少、极化现象减弱的特征;③协同水平差距有所减小,差异来源主要为区域间差异,且南部—中部和中部—北部差异较大;④协同水平存在显著的空间相关性及空间集聚现象,人口密度、金融发展、资本投入、经济集聚对协同水平的溢出效应明显,人力资本的溢出效应有待提高.
Coordination of Carbon Intensity and High-Quality Economic Development for the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Urban Agglomeration under China's Dual Carbon Goals
Based on the panel data of 13 cities in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration,the coupling coordination degree model is used to measure the coordination level between carbon intensity and high-quality economic development from 2006 to 2020,and the dynamic evolution,the difference sources and the driving factors of the coordination level are analyzed by combi-ning kernel density estimation,Dagum Gini coefficient and spatial econometric model.The results are shown as follows.① The coordination level of carbon intensity and high-quality economic development in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration is on the rise,mainly in moderate coordination,and showing a spatial pattern of diffusion from Beijing and Tianjin as the centers to the surrounding areas.② The dynamic evolution trend of the coordination level of the whole urban agglomeration and the three major regions shows the characteristics of improving the coordination level,reducing the absolute difference and weakening the polarization phenomenon.③ The difference of the coordination level of carbon intensity and high-quality economic development in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration has been reduced,and the source of the difference is mainly the inter-regional difference,and the difference is larger in the south-central regions and central-northern regions.④ There is a significant spatial correlation and spatial agglomeration phenomenon in the coordination level,and the spillover effects of population density,finan-cial development,capital investment and economic agglomeration on the coordination level are obvious,while the spillover effect of human capital needs to be improved.

carbon intensityhigh-quality economic developmentcoordination developmentDagum Gini coefficientspatial auto-correlation

胡剑波、周宗康

展开 >

贵州财经大学经济学院,贵州贵阳 550025

碳强度 经济高质量发展 协同发展 Dagum基尼系数 空间自相关

国家社会科学基金项目

23XJY022

2024

地理与地理信息科学
河北省科学院地理科学研究所

地理与地理信息科学

CSTPCDCHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.122
ISSN:1672-0504
年,卷(期):2024.40(4)
  • 16