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基于微电网规划中的动态分析建模

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动态分析不确定性的精确建模是微电网规划中的一个重要问题.对动态分析不确定性的建模越精确,随机优化方法的结果越接近实际的最优值.采用基于场景的随机优化方法,将光伏和风力发电机组的输出功率和负荷作为不确定变量,以确定自主微电网的分散式发电容量.以成本为目标函数,以网格可靠性为约束条件.为了在微电网中生成具有不确定性的变量的场景,首先对变量的动态拥有属性进行递归图非线性分析,然后研究它们的季节性行为.在此基础上,提出了 一种根据数据的季节性特征对数据进行分类的方法,并确定了每个不确定变量的情景生成方法.结果表明,基于不确定变量分析的情景生成方法可以提高微电网优化精度.
Dynamic Analysis and Modeling Based on the Micro-grid Planning
Accurate modeling of dynamic analysis uncertainty is an important problem in microgrid planning.The more accurate the modeling of the dynamic analysis uncertainty is,the closer the result of the stochastic optimization method is to the actual optimal value.In this paper,a scenario-based stochastic optimization method is used to deter-mine the distributed generation capacity of an autonomous microgrid,with the output power and load of photovoltaic and wind turbines as uncertain variables.The objective function is cost,and the constraint condition is grid reliabili-ty.In order to generate a scenario with uncertain variables in a microgrid,the dynamic ownership of variables is first analyzed by recursive graph nonlinearity,and then their seasonal behavior is studied.On this basis,a method of data classification based on the seasonal characteristics of data is proposed,and a scenario generation method for each uncertain variable is determined.The results show that the scenario generation method based on the analysis of un-certain variables can improve the optimization precision.

microgrid planningdynamic analysisuncertaintyoptimization accuracy

周龙舟、何其淼、霍兆杰

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广东电网有限责任公司佛山供电局,广东 佛山 528000

微电网规划 动态分析 不确定性 优化精度

2024

电气开关
沈阳电气传动研究所

电气开关

影响因子:0.281
ISSN:1004-289X
年,卷(期):2024.62(3)