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考虑春节影响下湖北用电需求形势分析

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春节期间工商业用电需求下降,导致电网负荷特性发生较大变化.为保障春节期间电力供需平衡,选取以春节法定假日为中心共计30天为研究周期,研究春节期间节日因素与气温变化对湖北电力电量的影响;基于各产业结构用电数据,量化计算过年期间湖北电力负荷损失情况.同时,对比2024年春节与往年的气温及用电的特点,提出考虑气象以及节假日双重因素扰动用电的分析方法,可以面对特殊节假日的中短期电力电量需求分析,为春节期间的电力供给调控策略提供决策支持.
Considering the Analysis of Hubei's Electricity Demand Situation Under the Influence of the Spring Festival
During the Spring Festival,the demand for electricity from industrial and commercial sectors decreases,resulting in significant changes in the load characteristics of the power grid and putting pressure on power supply.To ensure the balance of power supply and demand during the Spring Festival,a 30-day study period centered around the official holiday was selected to investigate the impact of holiday factors and temperature changes on Hubei's e-lectricity consumption during the festival.Based on the electricity consumption data by industry,the study quantifies the loss of power load in Hubei during the Spring Festival.Additionally,it compares the temperature and electricity consumption characteristics of 2024 Spring Festival with those of previous years.An analytical method that considers both meteorological and holiday factors affecting electricity consumption is proposed,enabling short-and medium-term electricity demand analysis for special holidays.This provides decision-making support for the power sector's supply regulation strategies during the Spring Festival.

Chinese New Yearpower supply and demandload loss

祝志刚、别芳玫、李慧慧、李良勇

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国家电网公司华中分部,湖北 武汉 430000

国网湖北省电力有限公司经济技术研究院,湖北 武汉 430000

武汉智网兴电科技开发有限公司,湖北 武汉 430000

春节 电力供需 负荷损失

2024

电气开关
沈阳电气传动研究所

电气开关

影响因子:0.281
ISSN:1004-289X
年,卷(期):2024.62(6)