Prediction of Precipitation during Summer Monsoon with Self-memorial Model
In view of the fact that the atmospheric motion is an irreversible process, a memory function which can recall the observation data in the past is introduced, moreover, a special concept of self-memorization of the atmospheric motion is proposed, and a so-called self-memorization equation of the atmospheric motion has been derived. Based on the self-memorization principle, a numerical model for decadal forecast is established by means of the thermodynamic equation and the precipitation equation. The verification scores of the hindcasts of the model in the period from 1 to 12 years are much higher than that of monthly weather forecasts at present.
封国林、曹鸿兴、高新全、董文杰、丑纪范
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Mathematics and Physics College, Yangzhou University
Chinese Academy of Meteorological Science 46 Baishiqiaolu
Department of Meteorological Science, Lanzhou University
Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences
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数值模式 气候预报 记忆
National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant NoNational Key Program for Developing Basic Sciences
NETL
NSTL
万方数据
维普
