首页|基于夜间灯光和土地利用的珠江流域城市碳排放估算及其时空动态特征研究

基于夜间灯光和土地利用的珠江流域城市碳排放估算及其时空动态特征研究

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揭示珠江流域碳排放时空演化和空间集聚特征,对推进流域地区低碳可持续发展具有重要意义.耦合夜间灯光数据、土地利用数据和能源消费数据构建碳排放估算模型,从流域、城市和网格尺度分析了珠江流域碳排放空间变化趋势,使用探索性时空数据分析和修正引力模型探讨了城市碳排放时空动态变化和空间关联特征.结果表明:珠江流域碳排放总量从2005年的2 9497万t增长至2019年的31 877万t,东莞、深圳和广州始终是高碳排放城市.网格尺度上高碳排放集聚区以珠江三角洲地区为核心向周边扩张,中上游高碳排放区呈点状分布.珠江流域碳排放存在正向空间相关性,空间交互效应呈下降趋势.时空动态分析显示相邻城市碳排放存在正向协同发展趋势.城市碳排放关联强度均值由5.93增长至18.97,核心节点城市对外辐射能力得到提升,碳排放关联网络结构呈集中化趋势.该方法耦合多源数据开展碳排放估算研究,具有潜在的实用价值,可为碳排放时空动态分析和低碳减排策略制定提供参考.
Research on Cities' Carbon Emissions and Their Spatiotemporal Evolution Coupled with Nighttime Light Image and Land Use Data in the Pearl River Basin
To investigate the spatiotemporal patterns and agglomeration characteristics of carbon emissions in the Pearl River Basin,we constructed a carbon emission estimation model by coupling multi-source data.The spatiotemporal dynamics and spatial correlation characteristics of urban carbon emissions were explored using exploratory spatiotemporal data analysis and modified gravity modeling.The findings indicate that the total carbon emissions in the Pearl River Basin increased from 312.67 million tons to 336.54 million tons.Dongguan,Shenzhen,and Guangzhou consistently stood out as cities with the highest carbon emissions.On the grid scale,the high-value carbon emission agglomeration expands towards the periphery,with the Pearl River Delta region serving as the core,whereas the high-value carbon emission area in the middle and upper reaches is characterized by a point-like distribution.Carbon emissions in the Pearl River Basin show a positive spatial correlation,although there is a decreasing trend in the spatial interaction effect.Furthermore,there is a positive synergistic trend among neighboring cities in terms of carbon emissions.The average linkage intensity of urban carbon emissions increases from 5.93 to 18.97,indicating strengthened connectivity among cities.The carbon emissions network structure shows a trend towards centralization.This method incorporates carbon sources and sinks into the calculation process,has potential practical value,and can support the development of a carbon reduction strategy.

Land use dataPearl River BasinCarbon emissionsRemote sensing estimation

张斌、卫丹琪、丁乙、姜洪涛、尹剑

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贵州财经大学西部现代化研究中心,贵州 贵阳 550025

贵州财经大学大数据应用与经济学院,贵州 贵阳 550025

吉林大学东北亚学院,吉林 长春 130012

土地利用数据 珠江流域 碳排放 遥感估算

贵州省高校人文社会科学研究年度项目

2023GZGXRW164

2024

地球科学进展
中国科学院资源环境科学信息中心 国家自然科学基金委员会地球科学部 中国科学院资源环境科学与技术局

地球科学进展

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:2.045
ISSN:1001-8166
年,卷(期):2024.39(3)
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