首页|同震应变阶及震后变形对地震短临前兆提取的影响——以2021年玛多Mw7.4地震为例

同震应变阶及震后变形对地震短临前兆提取的影响——以2021年玛多Mw7.4地震为例

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如何合理提取地震的短临前兆信号,一直是地震预测预报业务中的一大现实难题.在2021年玛多Mw7.4地震发生的前2天,同仁和宕昌台洞体应变的第11层小波细节系数,分别出现了大幅应变异常;为客观论证其真实成因,本文对该异常进行了较细致的归因分析.结果表明:同震应变阶和震后变形才是主因.不难理解,在使用小波变换来提取地震的短临前兆信号时,首先需要对同震应变阶和震后变形进行剔除,否则可能会产生误导性的结果.
Effects of co-seismic strain-step and post-seismic deformation upon the extraction of short-term and imminent earthquake precursor:case study of the 2021 Mw7.4 Maduo earthquake
How to reasonably retrieve the short-imminent earthquake precursors is a very challenging task in earthquake forecasting and prediction.During about two days prior to the Maduo Mw7.4 earthquake(22 May 2021),some anomalous strain with remarkable magnitudes were observed in wavelet detail coefficients at level 11.However,the real mechanism of the precursory strain is still unclear;therefore,further examination is indeed required.In this retrospective study,the attribution analysis is adopted to reveal their origin.The present results suggest that the remarkable strain anomalies were mainly originated from co-seismic strain-steps and post-seismic deformation rather than the short-imminent earthquake precursor.Thus,we can conclude that the misleading results can be retrieved from the continuous strain records with co-seismic strain-steps and post-seismic deformation by means of wavelet transform.

Maduo Mw7.4 earthquakeTunnel strainEarthquake precursorWavelet transformCo-seismic strain-stepPost-seismic deformation

杨小林、杨锦玲

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闽江学院地理与海洋学院,福州 350108

井冈山大学,吉安 343009

玛多Mw7.4地震 洞体应变 地震前兆 小波变换 同震应变阶 震后变形

国家自然科学基金国家自然科学基金

4210409142104089

2024

地球物理学进展
中国科学院地质与地球物理研究所 中国地球物理学会

地球物理学进展

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:1.761
ISSN:1004-2903
年,卷(期):2024.39(3)