首页|城市内涝排水抢险单位布局优化的仿真研究——以北京市百年极端降雨情景为例

城市内涝排水抢险单位布局优化的仿真研究——以北京市百年极端降雨情景为例

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城市内涝灾害不断频发,不仅对城市基础设施和居民财产造成严重破坏,更损害了居民的生活质量和幸福感.排水抢险救援能力与城市内涝灾害强度的空间匹配性直接影响抢险救援效率.本研究以"信息集成-仿真建模-情景模拟-效率对比-方案优选"为思路,基于多智能主体构建了城市内涝排水抢险单位救援行为仿真模型,以北京市凉水河流域为例,结合内涝、交通与排水抢险单位分布信息开展了实证研究,模拟对比了不同情景下城市内涝排水抢险救援效率.结果表明,通过采用"全局分散,局部聚集"的排水抢险单位空间布局方案,抢险救援效率在早晚高峰、抢险水平和救援组合情景中分别提升了18.27%、18.24%和10.34%,模型结果稳定性达到了93.85%.在该布局方案下,排水抢险单位具有更均衡合理的任务分配,有效降低了高峰时期交通流量和信号灯对排水抢险救援效率的影响,同时排水抢险能力组合选择时更具优势.本研究提出的城市内涝排水抢险单位布局优化方案可提升抢险救援效率,降低灾害风险的社会影响,为城市内涝应急管理提供科学依据.
Optimization Simulation Study of Urban Flood Drainage Rescue Unit Layout:A Case Study of Beijing Under a Century-Extreme Rainfall Scenario
The continuous and frequent urban flooding presents a formidable impediment to social and economic progress,imperiling community welfare. A critical aspect of urban flood emergency management involves enhancing the efficiency of drainage in rescue and relief operations. In this study,we combined diverse datasets encompassing the spatial distribution of urban rescue units,urban flooding occurrences,traffic dynamic flows,and traffic signal placements. We devised a multi-scenario simulation model for urban flood emergency response employing multi-agent based model guided by a "information integration-simulation modeling-emergency scenarios-efficiency comparison-optimization scheme". The model embedded Dijkstra algorithm to solve the optimal path for rescue and optimized the spatial layout of rescue points of rescue units with K-means algorithm. Through simulation experiments,we investigated the interaction between behavioral subjects and geographic environments,wherein rescue units navigate waterlogged areas,considering traffic constraints. The culmination of rescue and relief efforts is deemed achieved upon reducing water depth at all inundated points below the 15cm threshold. By formulating scenarios mirroring morning and evening peaks,diverse rescue levels,and rescue combination,we dissected the influence mechanisms of varied factors on rescue efficiency. Focused on the Liangshui River basin in Beijing,against the backdrop of a century-extreme rainfall event,our study scrutinized diverse emergency rescue scenarios,analyzed factors affecting rescue efficiency,and proffered optimization strategies for rescue unit layouts,to explore the path for the enhancement of rescue and relief efficiency. Our findings proposed optimized strategies for rescue unit deployment,advocating a spatial layout scheme emphasizing "global dispersion and local aggregation". Implementation of this scheme yielded substantial efficiency improvements by 18.27%,18.24%,and 10.34%during morning and evening peak scenarios,varying rescue levels,and different rescue compositions,respectively. In addition,the efficiency of rescue during off-peak hours was significantly higher than that during peak hours. Moreover,we underscored the pivotal role of rescue personnel efficiency in dictating overall rescue efficacy,observing nonlinear,and accelerated efficiency declines with diminishing rescue personnel levels. Depending on the road conditions,there was uncertainty in the rescue efficiency of both joint rescues and individual stationary teams. Hence,within the realm of practical rescue operations,it is imperative to adeptly tailor rescue strategies to the nuanced dynamics of each scenario,encompassing variables such as rainfall intensity,traffic congestion,resource availability,and other pertinent factors. These adaptive measures ensure a nimble response that optimally addresses the evolving exigencies of urban flooding emergencies. Notably,our model attained a commendable stability rate of 93.85%. This study offers strategic recommendations for enhancing emergency rescue efficiency and assuaging the societal ramifications of urban flood risk,as well as scientific insights for urban flood emergency management.

urban flooding emergency rescuedrainage rescue unitlayout optimizationmulti-agent based modelrescue efficiencymulti-scenariocentury-extreme rainfallBeijing

张孟斐、王丽晶、李永坤、郎立晨、郭纳良、吴锋

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中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所中国科学院陆地表层格局与模拟重点实验室,北京100101

中国科学院大学,北京100049

北京市水科学技术研究院,北京100048

城市内涝应急抢险 排水抢险单位 布局优化 多主体模型 抢险救援效率 多情景 百年极端暴雨 北京市

国家自然科学基金面上项目国家自然科学基金重大项目

4197123372091511

2024

地球信息科学学报
中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所

地球信息科学学报

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:1.004
ISSN:1560-8999
年,卷(期):2024.26(7)
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