首页|对外直接投资对我国经济安全的影响效应分析——基于多重中介效应模型的实证检验

对外直接投资对我国经济安全的影响效应分析——基于多重中介效应模型的实证检验

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对外直接投资(OFDI)通过促进产业结构调整、合理配置生产要素、技术逆向溢出效应对母国经济安全产生影响.文章选取2003-2022年省级面板数据,对我国经济安全水平进行指标构建与测度,并建构技术溢出效应、产业结构、经济水平三种中介指标,基于多重中介效应分析OFDI对我国经济安全水平的影响路径.研究发现:对外直接投资能提升经济安全水平;产业结构升级与技术逆向溢出效应在OFDI与经济安全之间存在中介效应;政府干预程度强弱对对外直接投资与经济安全水平的关系具有明显异质性:弱干预地区中介效应对经济安全有明显的促进作用,强干预地区中介效应对经济安全有一定抑制作用.
Analysis of the Impact and Effect of OFDI on China's Economic Security——An Empirical Test Based on Multiple Mediation Effect Models
Outward foreign direct investment(OFDI)will have an impact on economic security of a home country through industrial reconstructuring,factor allocation change and reverse technology spillover effects.Based on the provincial panel data from 2003 to 2022,this paper constructs and measures indicators of China's economic securi-ty level.Three intermediary indicators,namely,technology spillover effect,industrial structure,and economic lev-el,are also constructed to analyze the multiple intermediary effects of OFDI on the path of China's economic secu-rity level.The study finds that OFDI has an enhancing effect on economic security level,the intermediary effect of industrial structure upgrading and reverse technology spillover effect exists between OFDI and economic security.It also finds that the strength of government intervention has a significant heterogeneity in the relationship between OFDI and economic security level.The mediating effect of weak intervention regions has a significant promoting effect,while the mediating effect of strong intervention regions is negative,inhibiting the promotion of economic security level by OFDI.

outward foreign direct investmenteconomic securitymultiple mediating effectsregional heterogene-ity

何金旗、高子豪

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南京审计大学,江苏南京 211815

对外直接投资 经济安全 多重中介效应 地区异质性

江苏省研究生实践创新计划项目

SJCX23_1040

2024

对外经贸实务
中国国际贸易学会 武汉科技学院

对外经贸实务

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.47
ISSN:1003-5559
年,卷(期):2024.42(1)
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