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国际大变局背景下美国贸易政策转向及影响研究

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2016年美国大选后,其贸易政策格局发生了深刻变化.特朗普推行"美国优先"的保护主义政策,尤其是通过"301调查"对中国产品征税引发了美中贸易战.作为继任者,拜登政府没有推动"自由"贸易和多边贸易改革,而是继续推行前任的民族主义政策,并且联合盟友对中国"脱钩断链".文章通过对特朗普和拜登政府贸易政策的梳理,分析其政策转向的经济与地缘影响,研判美国贸易政策的未来走向,最后为我国外贸发展提出对策建议.面对如今百年未有之大变局,世界经济的相互联系比以往任何时候都更加紧密,保护主义只能使世界变得更缺乏弹性、更加不平等、更容易发生冲突.中国需要在推动"一带一路"共建、新兴市场及发展中国家合作、世贸组织改革等方面进一步发挥大国作用,为世界发展提供新机遇和新动能.
Research on the Shift and Impact of US Trade Policy in the Context of Major Global Changes
After the 2016 election,the US trade policy landscape has undergone profound changes.Trump's pur-suit of the"America First"trade protectionism,especially the imposing of tariffs on Chinese products through the"Section 301 investigation",triggered the US-China trade war.As the successor,the Biden administration did not promote"free"trade and multilateral trade reforms.Instead,it continued with the nationalist policies even united with its allies to decouple and disrupt the supply chain with China.This paper analyzes the economic and geopoliti-cal impact of the Trump and Biden governments'trade policies,examines the future direction of U.S.trade policy,and finally puts forward countermeasures and suggestions for China's foreign trade development.In the face of un-precedented changes in a century,the interconnection of the world economy is closer than ever,and protectionism can only make the world more inelastic,more unequal,and more prone to conflict.China needs to further play its role as a major country in promoting the Belt and Road Initiative,the cooperation with emerging markets and de-veloping countries,and WTO reform to provide new opportunities and new momentum for world development.

trade policyindustrial policysupply chainprotectionismzero-sum game

鲁欣

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机械工业信息研究院,北京,100037

贸易政策 产业政策 供应链 保护主义 零和博弈

2024

对外经贸实务
中国国际贸易学会 武汉科技学院

对外经贸实务

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.47
ISSN:1003-5559
年,卷(期):2024.42(2)
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