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中亚经济政策变动特征、风险及中国投资应对策略研究

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中亚国家是中国"一带一路"倡议实施的重要支点,也是中国对外直接投资的重点区域.当今,欧美经济复苏乏力、地缘博弈日益加剧、俄乌冲突持续无果、巴以战端影响各方,在此纷繁复杂的国际局势下,面临持续走高的失业率、恶化的财政状况、高企的通货膨胀和动荡的货币汇率,中亚各国频繁调整经济发展政策及货币政策、财政政策以应对一系列潜在经济风险.文章通过分析各国经济政策变动对中国投资中亚的影响,提出了优化投资策略、减少投资风险和增强投资者信心等策略建议.
Study on the Characteristics,Risks of Economic Policy Changes in Central Asia,and China's Investment Response Strategies
Central Asian countries are the pivot points to implement the Belt Road Initiative,and important regions for China's outward direct investment.Currently,the economic recovery in western countries is weak,the geopolitical game is getting more and more intense,the Russian-Ukraine conflict continues to go nowhere,the impact of Israeli-Palestinian war is pervasive.Under this complicated international situation,facing the persistently high unemployment rate,deteriorating fiscal situation,high inflation and volatile currency,Central Asian countries frequently adjust their economic,monetary and fiscal policies to cope with a series of potential economic risks.The article analyzes the impact of the economic policy changes of Central Asian countries on China's investment,and then puts forward suggestions to optimize the investment strategies,reduce investment risks and enhance the confidence of investors.

international situationeconomic policy riskChinese investmentfive Central Asian countries

尤立杰、莎妮娅·赛都拉

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新疆农业大学,新疆乌鲁木齐 830052

国际局势 经济政策风险 中国投资 中亚五国

国家社会科学基金新疆维吾尔自治区厅级项目

16CJY023XJEDU2022J002

2024

对外经贸实务
中国国际贸易学会 武汉科技学院

对外经贸实务

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.47
ISSN:1003-5559
年,卷(期):2024.42(3)
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