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欧亚新变局背景下中欧班列发展的PESTEL分析及促进策略

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为分析"一带一路"倡议十周年之际中欧班列所处的具体环境,探讨中欧班列在地缘政治风险、安全危机乃至军事冲突背景下的发展前景,文章通过运用成熟的商业环境和战略分析通用模型PESTEL,研究了影响中欧班列的政治、经济、社会、技术、环境及法律六大维度因素,分析了中欧班列这一中国双循环新发展格局的外循环重要商贸通道发展的整体大环境.研究结果表明,中欧班列发展大环境呈现局部挑战加剧、长远机遇未改的特点,对此我们应该采取增强公平正义叙事、强化多边沟通协作和优化运营服务机制的对策.
PESTEL Analysis and Response Strategies for the Development of China-Europe Railway Express in the Context of New Changes in Europe and Asia
In order to explore the specific environment of the China-Europe Railway Express at the closing of the 10th anniversary of the Belt and Road Initiative,and to analyze its development prospects in the context of geopo-litical risks,security crises and even military conflicts,this paper,by applying PESTEL,a well-developed model for business environment and strategy analysis,examines the six major dimensions of factors influencing the devel-opment of the China-Europe Raiway Express,namely the policital,economic,sociocultural,technological,environ-mental and legal dimensions,and analyzes the overall environment for its development as an important trade chan-nel in the outer cycle of China's new dual circulation development pattern.The results of the analysis show that the general environment of the development of China-Europe Railway Express is characterized by intensified local challenges and unchanged long-term opportunities.In this regard,we should adopt countermeasures to enhance the narrative of fairness and justice,strengthen multilateral communication and collaboration,and optimize the opera-tion and service mechanism.

Belt and Road InitiativeChina-Europe Railway ExpressPESTEL analysisgeneral environment anal-ysistrade logistics

王冰洁

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外交学院,北京 100037

一带一路 中欧班列 PESTEL模型 大环境分析 商贸物流

2024

对外经贸实务
中国国际贸易学会 武汉科技学院

对外经贸实务

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.47
ISSN:1003-5559
年,卷(期):2024.42(3)
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