The Impact of RCEP Tariff Concessions on Agricultural Trade in the Asia-Pacific Region
This paper utilizes the GTAP model to dynamically simulate the impact of the tariff concessions imple-mented in the 15th year of the RCEP tariff commitment schedule on agricultural trade in the Asia-Pacific region.The results indicate that:(1)Following the implementation of RCEP tarrif concessions,there is an increase in agri-cultural imports among the member countries,while imports from non-RCEP countries decline;(2)The balance of agricultural trade in the Asia-Pacific region shifts,with the trade focus moving from the United States to within the RCEP region,highlighting a significant trade diversion effect;(3)The tariff concessions under RCEP will have a positive impact on the macroeconomic conditions of the member countries,emphasizing the"ASEAN-centered"dy-namic.Member countries should seize the development opportunities presented by RCEP,promote the implementa-tion of agricultural tariff concessions,achieve complementary advantages in regional agricultural products,opti-mize the agricultural trade mechanism in the Asia-Pacific region,and build an integrated platform for agricultural trade in the Asia-Pacific region.
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