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贸易政策不确定性对企业金融化的影响研究

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随着贸易保护主义冲击的加剧,中国经济正面临前所未有的严峻挑战,同时,实体经济企业"脱实向虚"的现象也日益凸显.本文基于2011-2022年沪深两市A股制造业上市公司的面板数据,实证检验贸易政策不确定性对企业金融化的影响及其作用机制.研究结果显示,随着贸易政策不确定性的增加,企业金融化程度愈发显著;贸易政策不确定性主要通过强化企业"投资替代"动机和发挥"蓄水池"功能这两个核心机制影响企业的金融化决策.进一步分析发现,相较于国有企业,非国有企业在贸易政策不确定性上升时,其金融化更为明显.本文不仅从贸易政策不确定性的视角丰富了企业金融化成因的研究,也为当前环境下如何引导企业进行战略调整提供一定的借鉴与启示.
Research on the Impact of Trade Policy Uncertainty on Corporate Financialization
With the intensifying impact of trade protectionism,the Chinese economy is facing unprecedented severe challenges,and the phenomenon of real economy enterprises shifting towards virtual economy activities is increasingly prominent.Based on panel data from A-share listed manufacturing companies in the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges from 2011 to 2022,this paper empirically examines the impact of trade policy uncertainty on the tendency of corporate financialization and its underlying mechanisms.The research findings show that with the rise of trade policy uncertainty,the tendency towards corporate financialization becomes more apparent;trade policy uncertainty mainly affects corporate financialization through strengthening the mechanisms of"investment substitution"and"reservoir".Further analysis shows that compared to state-owned enterprises,non-state-owned enterprises exhibit a more significant inclination towards financialization when trade policy uncertainty rises.This study not only enriches the research on the causes of corporate financialization from the perspective of trade policy uncertainty but also provides insights and guidance on how to strategically adjust corporate behavior in the current environment.

trade policy uncertaintyfinancializationenterprise investment and financing

夏银桂、阮丽芬、胡田园、袁涛

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温州大学,浙江温州 325035

贸易政策不确定性 金融化 企业投融资

浙江省科技厅软科学重点项目温州大学研究生创新基金项目

2022C250063162024003001

2024

对外经贸实务
中国国际贸易学会 武汉科技学院

对外经贸实务

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.47
ISSN:1003-5559
年,卷(期):2024.42(7)