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基于模糊评价法的供热管道风险评价

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供热管道安全稳定运行对能源的安全高效利用至关重要.文中利用模糊综合评价法结合层次分析法,构建出供热管道风险评价模糊综合评价模型,并分析出周边环境、管道基本属性、运维管理质量、设计建造等因素对供热管道运行安全的影响,结果表明周边环境>管道基本属性>运维管理质量>设计建造,研究结果对供热管道日常养护具有一定指导意义.
FUZZY EVALUATION METHOD FOR HEAT PIPELINE RISK ASSESSMENT
The safe and stable operation of heating pipelines is crucial for the secure and efficient utilization of ener-gy.This paper employs the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method combined with the analytic hierarchy process to construct a fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model for assessing heating pipeline risks.It analyzes the impact of fac-tors such as surrounding environment,pipeline basic attributes,operation and maintenance quality,and design and construction on the safety of heating pipeline operations.The results indicate that the surrounding environment has the greatest impact,followed by pipeline basic attributes,operation and maintenance quality,and design and con-struction.The findings offer valuable guidance for the daily maintenance of heating pipelines.

heating pipelinesafety performancerisk assessmentanalytic hierarchy processfuzzy comprehensive evaluation method

汤凯、程之宽、张壮壮、罗开亮

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清华大学合肥公共安全研究院,合肥 230601

合肥市城市生命线工程安全运行监测中心,合肥 230601

供热管道 安全性能 风险评价 层次分析法 模糊综合评价法

2024

低温建筑技术
黑龙江省寒地建筑科学研究院

低温建筑技术

影响因子:0.237
ISSN:1001-6864
年,卷(期):2024.46(9)