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基于CRITIC-TOPSIS的深基坑风险分区动态评价

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为解决深基坑工程风险评价中的主观性影响及场地风险的细化分区与跟踪问题,本文提出了一种基于现场实测数据的相关性赋权法(CRITIC)与优劣解距离法(TOPSIS)相结合的深基坑施工风险分区动态评价方法。首先根据基坑测点布置划分子区域,以周边环境变形、基坑变形及地下水位变化等为评价指标,以现场实测数据为基础,采用CRITIC法确定指标权重,基于TOP SIS方法与模糊理论实现对基坑各分区施工风险的动态评价,最后通过上海某地铁深基坑工程案例应用,验证了该方法的有效性。结果表明:(1)本案例在深基坑施工风险评价中起主导作用的指标为地表沉降累计、地表沉降变化速率、坑外水位累计、坑外水位变化速率和地下连续墙顶水平位移变化速率;(2)随着基坑开挖施工的进行,累计类指标的权重计算值总体上在增大,而速率类指标的权重计算值总体上在减小;(3)空间分布上,基坑各分区风险为长边区域风险>短边区域风险>角部区域风险;(4)时间变化上,基坑各分区的风险等级变化不大,基坑开挖过程中基坑本身与周边环境均处于比较稳定的状态。以上风险评价结论与现场符合度较高,表明CRITIC-TOPSIS法能够有效避免专家赋权的主观性,可用于深基坑工程的施工全过程风险评价。
CRITIC-TOPSIS-based Construction Risk Dynamic Assessment for Sub-zones of Deep Excavation
To solve the problem of subjectivity influence in risk assessment of deep excavation project and zoning refinement and tracking of site risk,this paper proposes a construction risk dynamic assessment method for sub-zones of deep excavation by combining criteria importance through intercriteria correlation (CRITIC) and technique for order preference by similarity to an ideal solution (TOPSIS) based on the actual monitoring data.Firstly,we divide sub-zones of deep excavation according to the layout of monitoring points,select the deformation of surrounding environment,deformation of deep excavation,change of underground water level,etc.,as assessment indicators,then adopt CRITIC to determine weights of indicators,use TOPSIS and fuzzy theory to dynamically assess the construction risk of each sub-zone based on the actual monitoring data,and finally verify the proposed method through the case study of a deep excavation project in Shanghai.The results show that:(i) The indicators that play a dominant role in the construction risk assessment of deep excavation in this case study are cumulative surface settlement,change rate of surface settlement,cumulative underground water level,change rate of underground water level and change rate of horizontal deformation on the top of the diaphragm wall;(ii) As the excavation progresses,the weights of cumulative indicators generally increase,while the weight of change rate indicators generally decrease;(iii) In terms of spatial distribution,the risk of each sub-zone of the deep excavation is long side area risk>short side area risk>corner area risk;(iv) in terms of time evolution,the risk level of each sub-zone of the deep excavation does not change much,indicating the deep excavation itself and surrounding environment are in a relatively stable state during the excavation process.The risk assessment result is in high conformity with reality,which indicates that the CRITIC-TOPSIS-based method can effectively avoid the subjectivity of experts and can be used for risk assessment of deep excavation project during the whole construction process.

criteria importance through intercriteria correlationtechnique for order preference by similarity to an ideal solutionmetro deep excavationsrisk assessmentspatio-temporal distribution

杨逸枫、廖少明、徐伟忠、蔡群群

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同济大学土木工程学院,上海 200092

同济大学岩土及地下工程教育部重点实验室,上海 200092

上海城建市政工程(集团)有限公司,上海 200065

指标相关性赋权法 优劣解距离法 地铁深基坑 风险评价 时空分布

国家自然科学基金

52090082

2024

地下空间与工程学报
中国岩石力学与工程学会,重庆大学

地下空间与工程学报

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.886
ISSN:1673-0836
年,卷(期):2024.20(z1)