首页|中国建筑业高质量发展水平演变及其影响因素

中国建筑业高质量发展水平演变及其影响因素

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运用探索性空间数据分析、Markov链和时空地理加权回归模型,分析2008-2020年中国省域建筑业高质量发展水平的时空演变及影响因素.结果表明:(1)各地区建筑业高质量发展水平及变化幅度存在差异,中部和东部发展动力强劲,西部及东北地区长期低于全国平均水平,东北地区发展最为缓慢.(2)重心迁移速度有所加快,标准差椭圆面积不断缩小,东北方向的缩减趋势最为明显.(3)建筑业高质量发展的全局空间关联特性显著,局部空间相关模式以东部地区的高-高集聚和西部地区的低-低集聚为主.(4)建筑业高质量发展水平跨越式转移难以实现,跃迁只发生在相邻等级;高值省份的正向溢出要大于低值省份的负向溢出.(5)规模增长、创新驱动、综合效益和绿色节能的障碍度呈波动上升趋势,对建筑业高质量发展的制约作用逐渐增强;财政支持、城镇化进程、能源消费结构、科技创新能力对建筑业高质量发展的驱动影响具有空间异质性.
Evolution and Influencing Factors of High-quality Development of Construction Industry in China
ESDA,Markov chain and GTWR model were used to analyze the spatio-temporal evolution and influ-encing factors of the high-quality development of provincial construction industry from 2008 to 2020.The results show that:(1)There are differences in the high-quality development and growth rate of construction industry in different regions.The development momentum of the central and eastern regions is strong,the western and northeastern regions are lower than the national average for a long time,and the northeastern region is the slowest.(2)The migration speed of the center of gravity is accelerated,the standard deviation ellipse area is shrinking,and the reduction trend in the northeast direction is the most obvious.(3)The global spatial correlation characteristics of the high-quality develop-ment of construction industry are significant.The local spatial correlation model is mainly based on the high-high ag-glomeration in the eastern region and the low-low agglomeration in the western region.(4)The leap-forward transfer of high-quality development of construction industry is difficult to achieve,and the transition only occurs in adjacent grades;the positive spillover of high-value provinces is greater than the negative spillover of low-value provinces.(5)The obstacle degrees of scale growth,innovation-driven,comprehensive benefits and green energy conservation show fluctuating upward trends,and the restrictive effect on the high-quality development of construction industry is gradu-ally increasing.The driving effects of financial support,urbanization process,energy consumption structure and tech-nological innovation on the high-quality development of construction industry are spatially heterogeneous.

construction industryhigh-quality developmentspatio-temporal evolutioninfluencing factors

张立新、张家瑞

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青岛理工大学管理工程学院,山东青岛 266520

建筑业 高质量发展 时空演变 影响因素

山东省自然科学基金青年项目

ZR2022QG029

2024

地域研究与开发
河南省科学院 地理研究所

地域研究与开发

CSTPCDCHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.698
ISSN:1003-2363
年,卷(期):2024.43(1)
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