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珠三角城市群人口-产业-环境耦合协调度及其影响因素

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利用人口、产业和环境三大维度相关的多源大数据,构建耦合协调度测度模型.以珠三角城市群为例,测定人口-产业-环境维度的耦合协调度,并结合相关分析与地理加权回归模型分析其影响因素.结果表明:珠三角城市群人口-产业-环境协调度普遍较低,呈现明显的高值与低值聚集的空间分布格局.城市群内各地级市与不同城乡地域类型的耦合协调度整体差异不大.耦合协调度主要受产业维度产业链串联共生度与环境维度植被净初级生产力的影响.人口与产业维度因子间相关性强且呈正相关,但二者与环境维度因子呈负相关关系.结合研究结果,提出夯实南沙与珠三角西岸地区以创新引领的高质量发展、加强珠三角城市群生态保护的可持续经济发展等建议.
Coordination Degree and Influencing Factors of Population,Industry and Environment in the Pearl River Delta Urban Agglomeration
This study uses multi-source big data related to the three dimensions of population,industry,and environment to build a coordination degree measurement model,taking the Pearl River Delta Urban Agglomeration as an example to calculate the coordination degree of the population-industry-environment dimensions,and the in-fluencing factors are analyzed through correlation analysis and geographically weighted regression.The results show that:The coordination degree of Pearl River Delta Urban Agglomeration is generally low,and there is an obvious spatial distribution pattern of high-value and low-value aggregation.The overall difference in the coordination de-gree among the different cities and urban-rural areas in the urban agglomeration is not significant.The coordination degree is mainly affected by the completeness of the industrial chain factor in the industrial dimension and the NDVI factor in the environmental dimension.There is a strong positive correlation relationship between the population and industrial dimension factors,but both are negatively correlated with the environmental dimension factors.Based on the research results,suggestions are proposed,such as solidifying the high-quality development led by innovation in the Nansha and the western bank of Pearl River Delta Urban Agglomeration,and strengthening the sustainable eco-nomic development model of the ecological protection in Pearl River Delta Urban Agglomeration.

human-land relationshipsustainable developmentcoupling coordinationPearl River Delta Ur-ban Agglomeration

李蕴琳、赵鹏军

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北京大学深圳研究生院城市规划与设计学院,广东深圳 518055

北京大学城市与环境学院,北京 100871

人地关系 可持续发展 耦合协调 珠三角城市群

国家自然科学基金项目深圳市科技计划资助项目深圳市科技计划资助项目深圳都市圈多维影响力评价及跨界活动模式研究项目

42130402JCYJ20220818100810024KQTD202211010936040162310192401

2024

地域研究与开发
河南省科学院 地理研究所

地域研究与开发

CSTPCDCHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.698
ISSN:1003-2363
年,卷(期):2024.43(1)
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