首页|黄河流域数字普惠金融的时空演变及影响因素分析

黄河流域数字普惠金融的时空演变及影响因素分析

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采用Dagum基尼系数和空间自相关分析等方法,分析2011-2021 年黄河流域89 个城市数字普惠金融时空分布特征,并应用时间固定效应空间杜宾模型进行影响因素分析.结果表明:(1)黄河流域数字普惠金融整体上呈现缓慢上升趋势,大致存在"东高西低、北高南低"的分布格局,增速呈"西南部快、东北部慢"的演化格局.(2)基尼系数总体差异逐步缩小,区域内差异由大到小依次为下游地区、中游地区和上游地区,区域间差异由大到小依次为上下游地区、中下游地区和上中游地区,超变密度贡献率是总体差距的主要来源.(3)黄河流域数字普惠金融呈波动起伏上升的空间集聚态势,且以"高-高"和"低-低"类型为主,"高-低"和"低-高"类型则相对零散分布.(4)经济发展水平、传统金融发展水平和人口密度等因素对数字普惠金融具有正向促进作用,教育水平则呈负向影响;产业结构和地理区位具有正向溢出作用,政府支持程度和互联网发展水平则为负向溢出效应.
Spatio-temporal Evolution Influencing Factors of Digital Inclusive Finance in the Yellow River Basin
An examination of the digital financial inclusion in 89 cities in the Yellow River Basin from 2011 to 2021 was conducted using Dagum Gini coefficient and spatial autocorrelation analysis,and the time fixed effects SDM model was employed to assess the influencing factors.The research shows that:(1)On the whole,digital in-clusive finance in the Yellow River Basin is on a slow upward trend,with a distribution pattern of"high in the east and low in the west,high in the north and low in the south",and the growth rate shows an evolutionary pattern of"fast in the southwest and slow in the north".(2)The Gini coefficient has been gradually narrowing over the course of the study,with the intra-regional difference being downstream>middlestream>upstream,and the inter-regional difference being upstream-downstream>middle-downstream>upstream-middlestream.The main source of the overall difference is the contribution rate of hypervariable density.(3)Digital inclusive finance in the Yellow River Basin shows a fluctuating and rising spatial agglomeration trend,and is dominated by"high-high"and"low-low"types,while"high-low"and"low-high"types are relatively scattered.(4)Digital inclusive finance benefits from factors like economic development,traditional financial development,and population density,whereas educa-tion has a detrimental impact,with positive spillover effects from industrial structure and geographic location,and negative spillover effects from government support and internet development.

spatial-temporal evolutionDagum Gini coefficientspatial autocorrelation analysisSDM mod-elYellow River Basin

田卡吨、彭宝玉、张博、吴凡、刘亚男

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河南大学 地理与环境学院,河南 开封 475004

河南大学 环境与规划国家级实验教学示范中心,河南 开封 475004

时空演变 Dagum基尼系数 空间自相关分析 空间杜宾模型 黄河流域

国家自然科学基金河南大学研究生培养创新与质量提升行动计划

42071160SYLYC2022014

2024

地域研究与开发
河南省科学院 地理研究所

地域研究与开发

CSTPCDCHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.698
ISSN:1003-2363
年,卷(期):2024.43(2)
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