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西安市托育服务资源时空演化及影响因素研究

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利用核密度估计、最邻近指数法、Kriging空间插值分析、多尺度地理加权回归等量化方法,探究西安市2016-2023 年托育服务资源时空演化特征及影响因素.结果表明:(1)西安市托育服务分为起步阶段、快速发展阶段、爆发增长阶段3 个发展阶段,由三核心发展为多核心聚集,主要集中在碑林区、雁塔区、未央区.(2)托育服务资源在西安市呈现集聚分布,集聚程度逐年上升,具有"整体上中心集聚、同时向外发展"的特征,西、北方向是扩展的主要方向.(3)高资本托育服务资源主要向商业区和高等院校聚集,呈现出 4 个高资本热区,这些热区未来有机会提供更具竞争力的托育服务资源.(4)人口因素、教育因素和行业因素显著影响托育服务资源分布,而交通因素和经济因素对托育服务资源的空间分布影响较小.
Spatial-temporal Evolution and Influencing Factors of Childcare Service Resources in Xi'an City
Utilizing quantitative methods such as kernel density estimation,nearest neighbor index method,Kriging spatial interpolation analysis,and multi-scale geographically weighted regression,this paper explores the spatio-temporal evolution characteristics and influencing factors of childcare service resources in Xi'an City from 2016 to 2023.The results show that:(1)The childcare service in Xi'an can be divided into three stages:initial stage,rapid development stage,and explosive growth stage.The three-core is developmented into multi-core and mainly concentrated in the three districts of the city.(2)The distribution of childcare service resources in Xi'an is concentrated,and the degree of agglomeration increases year by year.It has the characteristics of centralized ag-glomeration on the whole and outward development at the same time.The west and north directions are the main di-rections of expansion.(3)High-capital childcare service resources mainly cluster in business districts and colleges and universities,presenting four high-capital hot areas,which expect to provide more competitive childcare service resources.(4)Population factors,education factors,and industry factors significantly affect the distribution of childcare service resources,while traffic factors and economic factors have little impact on the spatial distribution of childcare service resources.

childcare serviceschildcare resourcesspatial-temporal evolutioninfluence factorsXi'an City

李从容、王江川、苏昊、师一凡

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西安建筑科技大学 公共管理学院,西安 710055

托育服务 托育资源 时空演化 影响因素 西安市

陕西省软科学研究计划西安市发改委学术委员会重大课题研究项目(2021)

2023-CX-RKX-0560617-2121FZ2064

2024

地域研究与开发
河南省科学院 地理研究所

地域研究与开发

CSTPCDCHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.698
ISSN:1003-2363
年,卷(期):2024.43(2)
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