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我国跨境电商发展水平及影响因素研究

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从发展实力和发展潜力维度,测度我国内地31个省份跨境电商发展水平,探讨价格机制、扶持机制和竞合机制对我国跨境电商发展的作用程度.结果表明:(1)2013—2022年我国跨境电商发展水平呈小幅增长趋势,其规模增长在一定程度上改变了我国传统对外贸易形式,但并未从根本上实现我国对外贸易的新突破.(2)与跨境电商发展实力相比,我国跨境电商发展潜力在全球经济下行压力、中美贸易摩擦以及新冠疫情背景下仍平稳增长,地区差距缩小,但信息化、科技化发展的省际差距在短期内难以弥补.(3)对跨境电商发展的影响程度由低到高依次是价格机制、竞合机制和扶持机制,经营成本、贸易摩擦负向显著影响跨境电商发展水平,政府政策对其正向影响程度偏弱,跨境电商政策效果尚未充分显现.
Development Level and Influencing Factors of Chinese Cross-border E-commerce
This paper measures the development level of Chinese cross-border e-commerce from the strength and potential dimensions. It discusses the role of price mechanism, support mechanism and competition-cooperation mechanism in the cross-border e-commerce. The results are as followings:(1) The development level of cross-bor-der e-commerce shows a small growth trend in China. Its growth has changed the form of Chinese traditional foreign trade to a certain extent, but it has not fundamentally achieved a new breakthrough. (2)Compared with the devel-opment strength of cross-border e-commerce, the development potential of that has shown a trend of scale growth under the stimulation of the COVID-19. And its interregional gap has decreased. However, the degree of informa-tional and technological development is difficult to remedy in various regions. (3)The degree of variable affects to the development of cross-border e-commerce from low to high is in the order of price mechanism, competition-coop-eration mechanism and support mechanism. The operating cost rate of industrial enterprises and Sino US trade fric-tion negatively affect the development level of cross-border e-commerce, while government policies positively affect that, but the degree of impact is low. It shows that the policy effect of cross-border e-commerce has not yet been fully demonstrated.

cross-border e-commercedevelopment leveltrade coststrade friction

郭扬

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新疆大学 经济与管理学院,乌鲁木齐830046

跨境电商 发展水平 贸易成本 贸易摩擦

新疆教育厅自治区高校科研项目新疆大学博士科研启动基金项目

XJEDU2024J014BS202103

2024

地域研究与开发
河南省科学院 地理研究所

地域研究与开发

CSTPCDCHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.698
ISSN:1003-2363
年,卷(期):2024.43(3)