Spatiotemporal Evolution and Spatial Spillover Effect of Urban Resilience in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region
Rapid urbanization leads to an increase in uncertainty and unknown risks faced by cities, making the evaluation of urban resilience crucial in understanding the health and safety of cities. This study analyzes the spatiotemporal evolution and spatial spillover effects of urban resilience in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei ( BTH) region from 2012 to 2020, utilizing the urban resilience assessment model, the Capello model, and directed weighted net-work indicators. Moreover, this study uses the optimal parameters-based geographic detector to explore the driving factors of urban resilience in the BTH region. The findings show that:(1) The COVID-19 pandemic that emerged at the end of 2019 caused the average annual growth rate of urban resilience in the BTH region to drop by 5.65％ in 2020, but it enhanced the coordination of urban resilience within the region. A significant spatial imbalance ex-ists in the distribution of urban resilience in the BTH region, with Hengshui, Baoding, Xingtai, and Handan iden-tified as'collapse zones'. (2) From 2012 to 2019, the spatial spillover of urban resilience in the BTH region dis-played regional and hierarchical characteristics, forming a dual-core structure centered around Beijing and Tianjin. (3) From 2019 to 2020, urban resilience's overall spatial spillover intensity in the BTH region decreased, with the resilience spillover in Beijing, Tianjin, and Langfang being negative. (4) Urban GDP, permanent population size, the proportion of the primary industry in GDP, the number of higher education institutions, corporate profits, total passenger traffic, total urban household deposits, and per capita deposit balance were the crucial driving factors of urban resilience in the BTH region from 2012 to 2020 .
urban resiliencespatial spillovergeographic detectorBeijing-Tianjing-Hebei region
NETL
NSTL
万方数据
