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云南省旅游业高质量发展的时空演化及其影响因素的组态研究

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基于云南省16个州市2007—2021年面板数据,利用犹豫模糊层次TOPSIS法、空间核密度估计及动态QCA方法分析云南省旅游业高质量发展水平的时空演化及组态影响因素.结果表明:①2007—2021年,云南省旅游业高质量发展水平整体呈上升状态,各州市发展从不均衡逐渐向均衡态势演进.② 云南省旅游业高质量发展呈"俱乐部趋同"态势,部分低水平州市存在屏蔽效应,中等水平相邻州市间正向溢出效应明显,高水平州市存在虹吸效应.③ 云南省旅游业高质量发展受5种组态因素影响,根据组态的结构提炼为国际开放型、环境消耗型、均衡推动型,昆明市及边境州市受国际开放型组态影响,其他州市多受均衡推动型组态影响.
Configurational Study of the Spatiotemporal Evolution and Influencing Factors of High-quality Development in Yunnan Province's Tourism Industry
Based on panel data from 16 prefectures and cities in Yunnan Province spanning from 2007 to 2021, a combination of hesitant fuzzy analytic hierarchy process, spatial kernel density estimation, and dynamic qualitative comparative analysis ( QCA) methods is employed to analyze the spatiotemporal evolution and configurational impact factors of high-quality development in Yunnan Province's tourism industry. The results are as follows:①During the period from 2007 to 2021, Yunnan Province's tourism industry's high-quality development level demonstrated an o-verall upward trend, with development across prefectures and cities transitioning from an uneven state towards a more balanced trajectory.②High-quality development in Yunnan Province's tourism industry exhibits a trend of club con-vergence. Some lower-level prefectures and cities experience a shielding effect, while moderate-level areas demon-strate noticeable positive spillover effects among neighboring regions. Higher-level prefectures and cities, on the other hand, experience a suction effect.③ Yunnan Province's high-quality development of tourism is influenced by five configurational factors, which can be further refined into international openness, environmental consumption, and balanced promotion. Kunming City and border prefecture-level cities are influenced by the configuration of interna-tional openness, while other prefecture-level cities are mostly influenced by the configuration of balanced promotion.

tourism industry high qualityhesitant fuzzy setsdynamic evolutionconfigurational studyYunnan Province

王峰、全山鑫、范斐

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云南民族大学 澜沧江-湄公河国际合作研究院,昆明650500

武汉大学 中国中部发展研究院,武汉430072

旅游业高质量 犹豫模糊集 动态演进 组态研究 云南省

国家社会科学基金项目国家自然科学基金面上项目云南口岸建设发展研究项目

20BMZ112420711542023CX05

2024

地域研究与开发
河南省科学院 地理研究所

地域研究与开发

CSTPCDCHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.698
ISSN:1003-2363
年,卷(期):2024.43(3)