首页|沿海省份城市发展活力评价及其互动关系研究——以副省级城市为例

沿海省份城市发展活力评价及其互动关系研究——以副省级城市为例

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以德鲁克社会创新为理论基础,基于城市内三大行为活动主体构建包含人居环境、营商环境、治理环境系统的发展活力评价指标体系,利用多因子分层动态激励模型对2006-2020 年我国沿海省份 8 个副省级城市的发展活力进行评价,运用耦合协调模型和面板向量自回归模型分别测度并分析 3 个子系统间的耦合协调情况和互动关系.结果表明:(1)各城市的发展活力由高到低依次为广州、深圳、杭州、南京、青岛、宁波、大连、厦门,城市间发展活力综合评价结果两极分化明显,营商环境是影响城市发展活力提升最重要的因素,人居环境次之,治理环境最小.(2)8 个城市的耦合协调级别不高,整体处于失调类型.(3)3 个系统间相互作用,但其发展水平主要受自身影响.其中,人居环境系统显著受其他两个系统影响;营商环境系统受治理环境系统影响较强;治理环境系统主要依靠自身调节,受其他系统的影响较小.
Evaluation of Urban Development Vitality and Its Interactive Relationship in Coastal Provinces:A Case Study of Sub-provincial Cities
Based on Drucker's social innovation,this paper has constructed an evaluation index system of ur-ban development vitality including human settlement-business-governance environment system based on three behav-ioral actors,and the development vitality of eight sub-provincial cities in China's coastal provinces from 2006 to 2020 was evaluated by using the multi-factor hierarchical dynamic incentive model,then,used the coupling coordi-nation model and the panel vector autoregressive model to measure and analyze the coupling coordination and inter-action between the three subsystems.The results show that:(1)The order of development vitality of the eight cit-ies from high to low is Guangzhou,Shenzhen,Hangzhou,Nanjing,Qingdao,Ningbo,Dalian,Xiamen.(2)The coupling coordination level of the eight cities is not high,and the whole is in the disorder type.(3)The three sys-tems interact with each other,but their development level is mainly affected by themselves.Among them,the hu-man settlements system was significantly affected by the other two systems.The business environment system is strongly affected by the governance environment system.The governance environment system mainly relies on self-regulation,and is less affected by other systems.

social innovation theorythe vitality of urban developmentbusiness environmentdynamic in-centive modelPVAR modelcoastal provinces

郭建科、郑玉、董梦如、金雪莹、田深圳

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辽宁师范大学 地理科学学院,辽宁 大连 116029

辽宁师范大学 教育部人文社科重点研究基地辽宁师范大学海洋可持续发展研究院,辽宁 大连 116029

上海交通大学 国家战略研究院,上海 200030

沈阳师范大学 国际商学院,沈阳 110034

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社会创新理论 城市发展活力 营商环境 动态激励模型 面板向量自回归模型 沿海省份

教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大项目

22JJD790028

2024

地域研究与开发
河南省科学院 地理研究所

地域研究与开发

CSTPCDCHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.698
ISSN:1003-2363
年,卷(期):2024.43(4)
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