山东半岛城市群城市韧性与新型城镇化耦合协调研究
Research on Coupling Coordination of Urban Resilience and New-type Urbanization in the Shandong Peninsula Urban Agglomeration
汤洪霞 1杨淼 1李梦笛 2张莉 1邵志国3
作者信息
- 1. 青岛理工大学 管理工程学院,山东 青岛 266525
- 2. 同济大学 经济与管理学院,上海 200092
- 3. 青岛理工大学 管理工程学院,山东 青岛 266525;同济大学 经济与管理学院,上海 200092
- 折叠
摘要
在测算2012-2021 年山东半岛城市群16 个地级市城市韧性和新型城镇化水平的基础上,综合运用核密度曲线、ArcGIS从时间和空间维度探究城市韧性与新型城镇化耦合协调度的时空演化趋势.采用引力模型、社会网络分析和QAP回归分析探究耦合协调性空间关联网络的结构特征与影响因素.结果表明:(1)山东半岛城市群城市韧性、新型城镇化水平及二者的耦合协调度均呈上升态势,但空间异质性显著;(2)耦合协调性空间关联网络复杂,网络连通性和稳健性较强,但关联性和紧密性有待提高;(3)核心-边缘结构明显,核心区集中于城市群中部和省会城市周边;(4)地理空间邻近、对外开放度、风险应对能力、交通基础设施、经济发展和生态环境差异均显著影响山东半岛城市群耦合协调性空间关联网络结构.
Abstract
Based on the measurement of the level of urban resilience and new-type urbanization in 16 prefec-ture-level cities in the Shandong Peninsula Urban Agglomeration from 2012 to 2021,the paper comprehensively used the kernel density curve and ArcGIS to explore the spatial-temporal evolution trends of the coupling coordina-tion of urban resilience and new-type urbanization in the spatial and temporal dimensions.Then the gravity model,social network analysis and QAP regression analysis were used to investigate the structure characteristics and influ-encing factors of the spatial correlation network of coupling coordination.The results show that:(1)The overall level of urban resilience and new-type urbanization,and the coupling coordination between the two in the Shandong Peninsula Urban Agglomeration have continuously increased,but with significant spatial heterogeneity.(2)The spatial correlation network of coupling coordination is complex,with strong network connectivity and robustness,but there is room for improvement in association and closeness.(3)The network exhibits a clear core-periphery structure,with the core area concentrated in the central part of the urban agglomeration and around the provincial capital cities.(4)Factors such as geographical proximity,differences in openness,risk response capability,trans-portation infrastructure,economic development,and ecological environment significantly influence the structure of the spatial correlation network on the coupling coordination of Shandong Peninsula Urban Agglomeration.
关键词
城市韧性/新型城镇化/社会网络分析/耦合协调/QAP回归/山东半岛城市群Key words
urban resilience/new-type urbanization/social network analysis/coupling coordination/QAP regression/Shandong Peninsula Urban Agglomeration引用本文复制引用
基金项目
国家自然科学基金(72304161)
山东省自然科学基金(ZR2022QG029)
山东省优秀青年创新团队基金(2022)(2022RW036)
出版年
2024
NETL
NSTL
万方数据