The Impetus of the Economic Growth in China:The Demographic Dividend or Educational Dividend?
In the process of comprehensively building a modern industrial system,it is very important to fully tap the advantages of population resources to influence China's economic transformation.Using panel data from 30 provinces in China,this paper empirically analyzes the contribution and thresh-old characteristics of labor factors in China's economy from 2000 to 2021.The results show that:in the process of China's economic growth,the de-mographic dividend and the educational dividend exist for a long time,and the educational dividend has been the main driving force to promote China's economic growth;in the process of industrial structure change,the fluctuation characteristics of demographic dividend are more obvious.Demographic dividend and educational dividend weaken with the improvement of industrial rationalization level,and increase with the advancement of industrial up-grading.Therefore,it is proposed to stabilize the population growth rate while optimizing the industrial structure,promote the continuous improvement of educational human capital and the reasonable flow of rural labor force.
population dividendeducational dividendeconomic growthchanges in industrial structure