地质科技通报2024,Vol.43Issue(6) :144-151.DOI:10.19509/j.cnki.dzkq.tb20240223

北京山区典型流域泥石流次声预警模型

Infrasound early warning model for debris flow in a typical drainage basin in Beijing mountainous area

于家烁 翟淑花 徐尚智 冒建 李孟伦 王强强 刘欢欢 王云涛 于淼
地质科技通报2024,Vol.43Issue(6) :144-151.DOI:10.19509/j.cnki.dzkq.tb20240223

北京山区典型流域泥石流次声预警模型

Infrasound early warning model for debris flow in a typical drainage basin in Beijing mountainous area

于家烁 1翟淑花 1徐尚智 1冒建 1李孟伦 1王强强 1刘欢欢 1王云涛 1于淼1
扫码查看

作者信息

  • 1. 北京市地质灾害防治研究所,北京 100120
  • 折叠

摘要

次声是泥石流监测预警的有效手段,目前常用的阈值预警法仅考虑了个别次声时频特征,容易造成误报和漏报.因此,需综合考虑多种次声时频特征,提升泥石流次声预警准确度.基于北京市草甸水村泥石流的次声监测数据,分析了该流域泥石流次声和环境次声的时频特征差异,并基于随机森林算法构建了泥石流次声识别模型.结果表明,泥石流次声的有效声压为0.4~1.0 Pa,环境次声的有效声压多低于0.1 Pa,但噪音会引起声压上升至0.4 Pa以上;噪音次声能量多集中在低于6 Hz的频段,泥石流次声在6~15 Hz频段的能量明显高于噪音次声.因此,泥石流次声的甄别需综合考虑时频域的多个特征,重点是6~15 Hz频段对应的能量.基于随机森林算法,以有效声压、6~15 Hz有效声压、短时过零率、主频、主频振幅为特征变量构建的泥石流次声识别模型AUC值为0.99,对测试数据识别准确率为90.0%,相比传统声压阈值法提升了 15.0%.研究结果说明随机森林模型能够较为精准地甄别泥石流次声信号,适用于北京山区的泥石流次声预警,可为其他区域的泥石流次声预警研究提供参考.

Abstract

[Objective]Infrasound is an effective approach for debris flow warning.Traditional threshold-based warning methods focus solely on individual infrasound characteristics,which can lead to false alarms or missed de-tections.Thus,incorporating multiple time-frequency characteristics is essential to improve warning accuracy.[Methods]Infrasound data from Caodianshui Village,Beijing,were analyzed to differentiate the infrasound char-acteristics of debris flows from environmental background.A random forest algorithm was employed to establish an infrasound warning model for debris flows.[Results]The effective pressure of debris flow infrasound ranges from 0.4 to 1.0 Pa,while environmental infrasound typical remains below 0.1 Pa,though noise can raise it above 0.4 Pa.Noise infrasound energy is primarily concentrated below 6 Hz,whereas debris flow infrasound exhibits signifi-cantly higher energy in the 6-15 Hz.Therefore,comprehensive time-frequency characteristics,especially the ener-gy in the range of 6-15 Hz,should be considered when identifying debris flow infrasound.Using effective infra-sound pressure,infrasound pressure within 6-15 Hz,zero crossing rate,dominant frequency,and its amplitude as characteristic variables,a debris flow warning model was constructed based on a random forest algorithm.The mod-el achieved an AUC of 0.99,with a 90%recognition accuracy for test data,a 15%improvement over threshold methods.[Conclusion]The random forest-based infrasound warning model substantially improves warning accura-cy for debris flows and is applicable to typical basins in the Beijing mountainous areas.This approach offers a valu-able reference for infrasound-based debris flow warning research in other areas.

关键词

泥石流/次声/时频特征/预警模型/随机森林/北京山区

Key words

debris flow/infrasound/time-frequency characteristic/early warning model/random forest/Beijing mountainous area

引用本文复制引用

出版年

2024
地质科技通报
中国地质大学(武汉)

地质科技通报

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:1.018
ISSN:2096-8523
段落导航相关论文