首页|化工工艺安全评价指标体系的灰色关联度分析模型优化

化工工艺安全评价指标体系的灰色关联度分析模型优化

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安全评价指标体系承载整个评价对象的安全状态,通过对关键风险因素进行识别,可提高企业的安全级别.化工工艺安全评价指标数据量大、数据维度高、数据稳定性强,存在相近评价指标分级区分不正确的问题,因此有必要提高其安全评价相似指标的系统分辨率.结合化工工艺安全评价指标体系,构建化工工艺安全评价指标体系灰色关联度分析模型,采用"两两对比、遍历求解"的策略对灰色关联度分析模型进行系统优化,提出自适应评价指标数据规模的调节系数ρ值的确定方法,并以水煤浆气化工艺为案例进行实例分析.结果表明:采用灰色关联度分析模型对化工工艺安全评价指标重要性进行分析时,相似评价指标间区分度更大;与原模型相比,优化后的灰色关联度分析模型使系统灰色关联度的分辨率提高了 15%,增加了安全评价工作的正确率.该模型对具有相同数据特点的化工工艺安全评价指标体系的确定具有一定参考作用,为更有效地评估化工企业的安全状态提供了新途径.
Optimization of grey correlation analysis model of chemical process safety evaluation index system
The safety evaluation index system carries the security status of the entire evaluation object,iden-tifies the key risk factors,and can improve the security level of the enterprise.Chemical safety evaluation indicators have a large amount of data,high data dimension,strong stability,and there is a problem that the classification and differentiation of similar evaluation indicators are incorrect,so it is necessary to improve the system resolution of similar safety evaluation indicators.Combined with the chemical process safety e-valuation index system,the grey correlation analysis model of the chemical process safety evaluation index system was constructed,and the grey correlation analysis model was systematically optimized by using the strategy of"two-by-two comparison and ergodic solving",and a method for determining the adjustment co-efficient(ρ)value of adaptive evaluation index data scale was proposed,and empirical analysis was carried out with coal water slurry gasification process as an example.The results are as follows:at first,when the grey correlation analysis model is used for the importance analysis of chemical process safety evaluation in-dicators,the discrimination between similar evaluation indicators is greater;secondly,through the compari-son with the original model,the optimized grey correlation analysis model improves the resolution of sys-tem correlation by 15%,which increases the accuracy rate of safety evaluation work.The model has a refer-ence role in determining the chemical safety evaluation index system with the similar data characteristics,and provides a new way for chemical enterprises to more effectively evaluate the safety status.

chemical processsafety evaluation index systemadaptivitygrey correlation analysis

刘晋、任晋楠、蒋晋、程彦斌、齐东川

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重庆科技大学安全工程学院,重庆 401331

油气生产安全与风险控制重庆市重点实验室,重庆 401331

西南兵工重庆环境保护研究所有限公司数据与信息部,重庆 400042

化工工艺 安全评价指标体系 自适应 灰色关联度分析

教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目重庆市教育委员会科学技术研究项目重庆市教育委员会人文社会科学研究项目油气生产安全与风险控制重庆市重点实验室开放基金资助项目重庆市璧山区科学技术局科研项目

20YJCZH096KJZD-K20210150123SKGH350cqsrc202114BSKJ20210027

2024

安全与环境工程
中国地质大学

安全与环境工程

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:1.03
ISSN:1671-1556
年,卷(期):2024.31(2)
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