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河南省社区居民洪涝灾害应急能力评价研究

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为有效预防和应对城市洪涝灾害,减少灾害造成的损失,通过收集、整理文献和案例资料,根据灾害应急管理的过程设计了社区居民洪涝灾害应急能力评价指标体系,采用层次分析法确定评价指标权重,并基于贝叶斯网络构建社区居民洪涝灾害应急能力综合评价模型,对河南省社区居民洪涝灾害应急能力进行了综合评价.结果表明:河南省社区居民洪涝灾害应急能力评价等级为中等,其中洪涝灾害灾前准备能力所占的权重最大,其次为灾中处置能力、灾后恢复能力;按影响程度从大到小排列前三的细分类致因依次为应急培训演练度、应急物资储备量、应急管理参与度.根据评价结果从加强洪涝灾害灾前准备能力等4个方面提出了改善河南省社区居民洪涝灾害应急能力的建议,以提升城市灾害应急管理水平.
Evaluation of flood disaster emergency response capacity of community residents in Henan Province
The emergency response capacity of community residents for flood disasters is crucial for preven-ting and responding to urban flood disasters,reducing losses caused by disasters.By collecting and sorting out literature and case data,this paper designed the evaluation index system of flood disaster emergency re-sponse capacity according to the process of disaster emergency management,and determined the evaluation index weight with analytic hierarchy process.The paper constructed a comprehensive evaluation model of community residents'flood emergency response capacity based on Bayesian network to evaluate the com-munity emergency response capacity of flood disaster in Henan Province.The results show that the evalua-tion grade of community residents'flood emergency response capacity in Henan Province is medium.A-mong them,the pre-disaster preparation capacity has the highest weight,followed by the disposal capacity in disaster and the recovery capacity after disaster.The top three factors in order of impact from large to small are the degree of emergency training,emergency material reserve,and emergency management partici-pation.According to the evaluation results,the paper puts forward some suggestions to improve the flood emergency response capacity of community residents in Henan Province from four aspects,including strengthening the pre-flood preparation capacity,so as to enhance the level of urban disaster emergency management.

flood disastercommunity residentemergency response capacity evaluationBayesian networkHenan Province

徐瑞华、张攀科、罗帆、张晓辉

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河南工程学院商学院,河南郑州 451191

河南科技大学商学院,河南洛阳 471023

武汉理工大学管理学院,湖北武汉 430070

洪涝灾害 社区居民 应急能力评价 贝叶斯网络 河南省

河南工程学院博士培育基金河南省哲学社会科学规划年度项目河南工程学院科研协同育人专项

D20220352022CSH0312022XT-2022SS012

2024

安全与环境工程
中国地质大学

安全与环境工程

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:1.03
ISSN:1671-1556
年,卷(期):2024.31(3)
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