Political risk research mainly explores the impact of changes in risk subjects on the interests of the object.The main goal is to link national and political system characteristics with political risk events to complete the inference of risk points,risk probabilities and risk precursors.It can be roughly divided into three research tendencies:policy identification,political system classification,and indicator construction.So far,a relatively systematic and complete risk identification indicator system has been established,but there are still inherent defects such as excessive attention to the object,reliance on standard models,and neglect of external shocks,which lead to inaccurate and ineffective assessments.The political security assessment of Eurasian countries at least needs to integrate the common characteristics of the following four types of indicators:national governance,regime stability,transition process,and political risk,and make revisions in line with local history and reality on this basis.Taking Russia as an example,political security assessment should at least include six aspects:national capacity,government effectiveness,elites and bureaucrats,rules and rule of law,social foundation of the regime,and continuity of stability.At present,the Russian state and government are gradually adapting to conflicts and sanctions due to their policy learning ability,bureaucratic integration ability,and historical reflection ability,but such adaptation requires a price.Military conflicts and economic sanctions are the main external factors affecting current Russian politics.
Political risksPolitical stabilityState risksRussia-Ukraine conflictCountry and region studies
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