首页|北极地缘政治反思:批判与重构

北极地缘政治反思:批判与重构

扫码查看
当前北极地缘政治割裂与对抗加剧,颠覆了北极"例外论",也凸显北极"冷战论"等对现实解释的失焦和乏力.在指出既有理论逻辑缺陷的基础上,本文以时代特征和空间关联的综合时空观,阐释北极地缘政治的本质特征和演化态势,通过界定关键因素、主要矛盾、演化区间及其动力机制等核心概念,构建北极地缘政治理论分析框架,并提出"耦合联动论",作为对现有理论的回应和修正.本文结论认为,在全球气候变化加速、俄乌冲突持续延宕的背景下,俄美在北极的"内生性"矛盾和欧洲地缘态势对北极产生"外部性"影响的耦合联动作用愈发明显.北极地缘政治将呈现两大特征:地缘格局"北约化"加剧北极地缘态势紧张,而欧洲安全架构重塑将直接影响北极地缘态势的演化.
The increasing fragmentation and confrontation in the Arctic geopolitics today have overturned the notion of Arctic"exceptionalism"and highlighted the inadequacies of theories like the"Cold War"perspective in explaining current realities.Building on the critique of these existing theoretical flaws,this paper adopts a comprehensive spatiotemporal perspective,integrating contemporary characteristics and spatial connections to explain the fundamental nature and evolutionary dynamics of the arctic geopolitics.By defining core concepts such as key factors,primary contradictions,evolutionary intervals,and driving mechanisms,it constructs a theoretical framework for analyzing Arctic geopolitics and proposes the"Coupled Interaction Theory"as a response and refinement to existing theories.The paper concludes that,against the backdrop of accelerating global climate change and the prolonged Russia-Ukraine conflict,the"endogenous"conflicts between Russia and the United States in the Arctic,coupled with the"exogenous"influences of the European geopolitical landscape,are becoming increasingly evident.Arctic geopolitics will manifest two main features:the intensification of a NATO-like geopolitical pattern,heightening tensions in the Arctic,and the reshaping of the European security architecture,which will directly impact the evolution of the Arctic geopolitical landscape.

ExceptionalismCold War Perspectivethe Arctic GeopoliticsEvolutionary DynamicsCoupled Interaction

易鑫磊

展开 >

华东师范大学政治与国际关系学院、教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地华东师范大学俄罗斯研究中心

例外论 冷战论 北极地缘政治 演化态势 耦合联动

2024

俄罗斯研究
华东师范大学

俄罗斯研究

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.622
ISSN:1009-721X
年,卷(期):2024.(5)