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云南省多尺度碳排放时空格局及影响因素

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基于DMSP/OLS和NPP-VIIRS两类夜间灯光整合的数据集,构建云南省碳排放估算模型,拟合优度达到0.858.利用空间自相关分析方法探究碳排放空间格局,利用地理加权回归模型探究其影响因素.结果表明:1)云南省近20 年碳排放总体呈现由高增速到低增速的演变过程.高碳区县扩张趋势较为平稳,县级尺度与市级尺度基本保持一致.2)县级尺度具有显著的空间异质性和区域聚集特征,表现为东北区域低碳聚集,东部和南部高碳聚集.3)探究影响碳排放空间分异的4 种因素,人口和第二产业占比呈正相关关系,人均生产总值和人均可支配收入存在不同程度的双向相关性,其影响程度依次为:人口>第二产业比例>人均生产总值>人均可支配收入.
Spatiotemporal Pattern and Influencing Factors of Multi-scale Carbon Emissions in Yunnan Province
Based on the integrated data sets of DMSP/OLS and NPP-VIIRS nighttime lights,a carbon emission estimation model of Yunnan Province was constructed.The goodness of fit reached 0.828.The spatial autocorrelation analysis method was used to explore the spatial pattern of carbon emissions,and the geographically weighted regression model was used to explore its influencing factors.The results show that,1)Yunnan Province's carbon emissions have generally shown an evolution process from high growth rate to low growth rate in the past two decades.The expansion trend of high-carbon districts and counties is relatively stable,and the county-level and city-level scales are basically con-sistent.2)County-level facies have significant spatial heterogeneity and regional aggregation characteris-tics,which are characterized by low carbon agglomeration in the northeast and high carbon agglomera-tion in the east and south.3)This study has also explored four factors affecting the spatial differentiation of carbon emissions.There is a positive correlation between population and the proportion secondary industry account for the ratio shows.There are varying degrees of two-way correlation between per capita GDP and per capita disposable income.The degree of influence is in the following order:popu-lation>proportion of secondary industry>per capita GDP>per capita disposable income.

carbon emissionsnight light datalow-carbon developmentspatial analysis

蓝皓新、徐军

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河海大学 地理与遥感学院, 南京 210000

碳排放 夜间灯光数据 低碳发展 空间分析

国家自然科学基金项目

41971374

2024

亚热带资源与环境学报
福建师范大学

亚热带资源与环境学报

CSTPCD
影响因子:0.425
ISSN:1673-7105
年,卷(期):2024.19(1)
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